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Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 22, 2019

November 22, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Shannon’s Girl 1.60 2.2 4-1
10 6 Gracely 3.00 3 6-1
3 3 Happy Home 12.00 3.8 7-1
5 4 Ghostly Beauty 5.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Jasminesque 3.50 4 8-1
6 6 Gottahaveaholiday 3.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Buddy’s Memory 6.00 SCRATCH
9 5 Happyandiknowit 30.00 6.7 13-1
11 11 Blahnik 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Flying Pleasantly 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Our Ticket 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Northern Haze 3.50 SCRATCH
2 1 Absentee 5.00 2.8 5-1
6 4 Thesis 1.60 2.9 6-1
5 3 Family Biz 6.00 3.5 7-1
3 2 Carthon 4.50 3.9 7-1
1 1 Rucksack 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Nan’s Plan 6.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Red Hot Dame 4.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Appletini 3.00 3.9 7-1
6 5 Eight Oaks 4.50 4.1 8-1
7 6 Its a Chance 12.00 4.1 8-1
5 4 Dovey Lovey 6.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Pins and Needles 3.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Dazzling Speed 15.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Orsay 3.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Lost Ticket 3.50 3.2 6-1
3 3 Apurate 4.50 3.2 6-1
2 2 Speedy Vanessa 5.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Love of My Heart 6.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Jazzy Lady 8.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Cherokee Song 12.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Empress Amelia 8.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7A 6 Guns of Steel 8.00 2.7 5-1
5 4 Playthatfunnymusic 1.60 2.9 5-1
1 1 Royal Albert Hall (GB) 2.50 3.1 6-1
4 3 Bitumen 6.00 3.2 6-1
6 5 The Sicarii 10.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Mills 4.50 3.9 7-1
8 7 Fleet Irish 12.00 5 9-1
3A 3 They Shot Sonny 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Malthael 3.00 2.6 5-1
8 5 Monkeyseemonkeydo 8.00 2.8 5-1
4 3 Betterment 3.00 3.4 6-1
6 4 Bail Out 10.00 4.1 8-1
9 6 North Dakota 4.50 4.1 8-1
3 3 Estill 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Stare Decisis 2.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Shiloh Lane 50.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Bad Dude 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 6 My Roxy Girl 2.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Honor Way 4.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Breaking Bread 6.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 New Year’s Wish 2.00 SCRATCH
3 3 No Deal 15.00 4 8-1
5 4 Figure It Out 10.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Golconda (FR) 20.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Aunt Babe 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 6 My Sacred Place 1.80 2.2 4-1
8 8 Rejected Again 6.00 SCRATCH
7 5 Aleph 8.00 3.3 6-1
6 4 Victory Boulevard 2.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Super Wicked Charm 5.00 4.9 9-1
3 2 John Want Revenge 30.00 5 9-1
4 3 Goneonamission 30.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 David’s Gem 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Pacquiao 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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