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Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 23, 2019

November 23, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Mandatory Payout 1.40 2.7 5-1
1 1 Bassman Dave 4.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 Casper Slew 2.50 3.4 7-1
5 5 Riken 5.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Mister Bobby 8.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Larceny 8.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 Magnetique 3.50 2.7 5-1
11 10 Dream Chasing 5.00 3.3 6-1
16 16 Aubrey Tate 2.00 SCRATCH
2 2 City Temper 2.50 4.1 8-1
3 3 Lucky Lizzie 6.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Chouchou de Boo 8.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Voltairine 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Fractorzation 10.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Lottie’s Mizzion 8.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Summer At the Spa 10.00 5.6 11-1
12 12 Wicked Kheisha 30.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Bella Domenica 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Makingcents 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Cemetery V I P 15.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 White Hot 12.00 6.6 12-1
14 14 Irena N Ella 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Prairie Fire 4.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Myhartblongstodady 4.00 4 8-1
9 9 Tempers Way 8.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Summer Squeeze 3.50 5.7 11-1
15 15 Derby Day Zip 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Barrel of Destiny 8.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Kerry’s Ring 4.50 7.2 14-1
2 2 Tiz a Kitten 15.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Pecatonica 8.00 7.5 14-1
10 10 Paved With Gold 12.00 7.7 14-1
14 14 Summer Fantasy 6.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Love and Love 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Sterling Beauty 15.00 8.7 16-1
4 4 Puparee 30.00 9.9 19-1
7 7 Miss Jen 12.00 9.9 19-1
5 5 Minit Maus 30.00 10.4 20-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Sir Ballantine 6.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 O Shea Can U See 2.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Brimstone 4.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 My Bernie 3.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 What a Catch 6.00 4 8-1
6 6 So Sublime 10.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Gorelli 8.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Toohottoevenspeak 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Banana Thief 2.00 3.3 6-1
10 10 Pool Winner 5.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Call Wil 3.50 3.9 7-1
4 3 Blueblood 10.00 4.3 8-1
2 1 Celebration (GB) 6.00 6 11-1
12 10 Machtree 8.00 6.2 12-1
14 14 Deep Sea 2.50 SCRATCH
6 5 Psychic Energy 8.00 6.8 13-1
11 9 Mad Munnys 12.00 7.3 14-1
3 2 Ethan Hunt 15.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 Mission Command 12.00 SCRATCH
9 8 They Shot Sonny 20.00 8.7 16-1
8 7 Swiping Dan 30.00 9.2 17-1
13 13 Amblin Man 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Telephone Talker 2.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Kinenos 8.00 3 6-1
9 9 Eagerly 4.50 3.3 6-1
15 15 Myamanoi 6.00 SCRATCH
11 10 Assiduously (GB) 10.00 4 8-1
10 10 Voodoo Zip 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Plan of Attack 12.00 5.1 10-1
12 11 Queens Empire (IRE) 10.00 5.3 10-1
16 16 True Palace 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Lord of the Nile 20.00 5.6 11-1
14 14 Farmington Road 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Mandate 12.00 5.8 11-1
13 13 Distorted Sky 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Stay True 20.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Manolito 50.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Tapaloof 15.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Free Enterprise 1.80 2 4-1
4 4 The Caretaker 6.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Charlie McCoy 4.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Kong Style 6.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Zealous 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Fast Talking 12.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Double Orb 3.00 5.3 10-1
8 7 Creative Style 30.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Something Magical 10.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Honey I’m Good 3.50 3.5 7-1
7 6 Getmotherarose 4.50 3.5 7-1
10 9 Kitten’s Covergirl 10.00 4.5 9-1
8 7 I’llhandalthecash 3.00 4.6 9-1
4 3 Miss Mystique 8.00 4.8 9-1
6 5 Albertville (GER) 4.00 6 11-1
9 8 Golconda (FR) 20.00 6.7 13-1
3 2 Buff’s in Love 20.00 7.2 14-1
2 1 Calinas Song 30.00 7.4 14-1
11 11 Our Circle of Love 1.20 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Red Smith S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Dot Matrix 12.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 Red Knight 6.00 4.7 9-1
11 11 Glorious Empire (IRE) 6.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Nakamura 10.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Sadler’s Joy 1.60 5.8 11-1
1 1 Tiz a Slam 8.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Marzo 10.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Red Right Hand 15.00 7.1 13-1
12 12 Zumurudee 30.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Have At It 30.00 7.8 15-1
15 15 Bon Raison 3.50 SCRATCH
16 16 Dynamax Prime 2.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Postulation 20.00 9.1 17-1
14 14 Backsideofthemoon 2.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Petit Fils (FR) 8.00 10.7 20-1
13 13 Mokheef 50.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Blues City 3.00 2.1 4-1
9 9 Imperio D 4.50 3.1 6-1
8 8 Titan’s Will 10.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Unbridled John 3.50 4.3 8-1
7 7 Victory Built 12.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Wild Banker 8.00 4.8 9-1
11 11 Now and Again 12.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Surprise Visit 6.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Glenn Likes Gin 30.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Carnegie Song 15.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Geils Rocks 20.00 7 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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