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Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 23, 2019

November 23, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Haynesville 6.00 4 7-1
9 9 The Remainder 2.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Chasing Happy 12.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Beaubouef 3.50 6.6 12-1
3 3 Reversaloffortune 6.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Cadillac Frankie 10.00 7 13-1
10 10 Ain’tseentheball 15.00 8 15-1
7 7 Pointman 12.00 8.4 16-1
1 1 Dewey’s Bull 15.00 8.7 16-1
8 8 Top Money 20.00 8.8 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Survey 2.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Carbonated 3.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Odyssey Explorer 6.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Cogan 12.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Applewood 3.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Meditate 8.00 7.5 14-1
7 6 Ray’s King 10.00 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Harper’s Deelite 5.00 3.2 6-1
2 1 Jade’s Autumn Sky 3.50 6 11-1
4 3 Toni’s Star 3.00 6.1 11-1
5 4 By Our Love 6.00 6.2 12-1
6 5 M V P Mookie 12.00 6.3 12-1
11 11 Flash Me Back 3.00 SCRATCH
9 8 Two Chips 10.00 7.6 14-1
10 9 Tapit On Race Day 8.00 8.5 16-1
8 7 Dewey’s Little Joe 12.00 9.9 19-1
7 6 Elisher 15.00 11.2 21-1
1 1 Half Pipe 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Alterana 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Allstar Superstar 2.50 4.6 9-1
7 7 Chatain’s Flyer 4.50 5.5 10-1
5 5 Bonnie Gray 6.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Terri’s Temper 10.00 7.7 14-1
4 4 Golden Bet 8.00 7.7 15-1
1 1 Hopeitsamiracle 20.00 8.6 16-1
2 2 Running Unbridled 15.00 8.9 17-1
6 6 Doeny Sparks 20.00 9.3 17-1
9 9 Angelic Kriss 15.00 9.5 18-1
8 8 Fromagentleman 3.00 9.8 18-1
11 11 Bliss La Vie 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Tina’s Pal 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Shooters Alley 4.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Swift Shock 10.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Macandales 2.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Who Datawaki 6.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 Rose Needs a Check 10.00 8.3 16-1
4 4 Nastida Mast 10.00 8.3 16-1
9 9 Hewhofillsmyheart 6.00 10.1 19-1
1 1 Lip Service 15.00 10.4 20-1
10 10 Mundo Mutadda 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Theboyzgrand Kis 12.00 11 21-1
11 11 Si Familia 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Actif One 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Saints N Muskets 5.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Goodprofit 4.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Xairo 12.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Brahms Baby 3.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Shesthecatsmeow 8.00 8.5 16-1
1 1 Kris T. 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 That’s a Song 10.00 8.9 17-1
2 2 Tricky Creed 12.00 9.7 18-1
7 7 Crispy Creed 8.00 9.8 18-1
10 10 Hiclass Production 12.00 10.4 20-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Pleasant d’Oro 1.80 4.4 8-1
3 3 Jobim 5.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Donwell 2.50 4.8 9-1
8 8 Rahfees Man 12.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Giant Mesa 6.00 7.5 14-1
7 7 Blue Warrior 12.00 7.5 14-1
4 4 Super Factor 10.00 7.7 15-1
6 6 Menewa 12.00 8.6 16-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Jean Lafitte S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sir Winsalot 2.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Something Super 3.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 X Clown 3.50 5.1 10-1
4 4 Sea Bee Salute 10.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Jack the Umpire 4.50 6.2 12-1
7 7 Sir Rick 10.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Saving Argument 10.00 9.2 17-1
3 3 Bold Thirst 12.00 10.3 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Custom Vision 3.50 6.6 12-1
6 6 Such 2.50 7.4 14-1
4 4 Gifted Richter 8.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 King Zippy 6.00 8.4 16-1
2 2 B Rasen 6.00 8.7 16-1
3 3 No More for U 8.00 9.4 18-1
10 10 Clever Lad 12.00 9.4 18-1
7 7 Pops Legacy 12.00 10.2 19-1
8 8 King Formeredith 10.00 10.6 20-1
9 9 Spring Rodeo 30.00 12.8 24-1
11 11 Little Mario 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Halos Prayer 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Storm On the Mesa 6.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Whitney’s Flash 8.00 5.8 11-1
10 10 Mardi Gras Parade 5.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Smart N Holy 10.00 7.7 14-1
2 2 Chatain’s Eagle 1.40 7.9 15-1
1 1 Lucky Slippers 15.00 8.1 15-1
8 8 Why Not Dana 12.00 8.6 16-1
3 3 Star Nova 10.00 8.7 16-1
5 5 Runpeggyrun 15.00 9.3 18-1
6 6 Princess Orthodox 15.00 10.3 20-1
11 11 Mane Priority 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Lexi Em 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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