November 24, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Wonder City | 1.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bethabara | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Irish Charmer | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tonal Verse | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Deciding Vote | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Savedbythebelle | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kate Carmack | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ain’t Wasting Time | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hopeful Treasure | 1.40 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Gary | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Confusion Baby Boy | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Promising Pistol | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pataz | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Free to Trump | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Harlan’s Hunch | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sir Brahms | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Greek God | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Valid Redeemer | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5A | 5 | Pendrell Moon | 1.20 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Refunded | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8A | 8 | Run for James | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Sunday in L B C | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hoss Kitten | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Make It a Double | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bigdaddysglory | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Rockin Anna Rollin | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Discreet Rush | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Queen of Tomorrow | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Talia Ladybug | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Seselwa | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Clockwise | 10.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Firth | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Home Dixie | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Truly Hot | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lonely Drifter | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Queen of Schmooze | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lill Mave | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Dr. Ann | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lady by Choice | 1.40 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Conjecture | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | She’s Quiet | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ava O | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Vicki | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nightlife | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Exchequer | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vincent Van Gogo | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ego Trip | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rising Perry | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flip | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Galatians | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Top Hat Treason | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mattymeister | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Walk Away Joe | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sojourner | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rockin Ron | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spooky Island | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Change the Image | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.