December 1, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Catcake | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Dreaming of Curlin | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Itybityquikasakity | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Starbuck Luck | 4.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Premie Baby | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Greedy Gal X Lee | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nine Line Bind | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Turbo Street (AUS) | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Son of a Saint | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lusitano | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gustnado | 15.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Antarctic | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mucho Macho Bets | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Alittlevodka | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wildcard Prado | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Chop Chop Charlie | 1.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Call the Colonel | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss You Jo | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Al Taweel | 3.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rain Drop Kid | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | No More for U | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Smithwick | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Da Gold Room | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 6 | River Finn | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 7 | Cleanup Time | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Free Spender | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1A | 10 | Homebred | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Curlington | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Atlas Moon | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Conquistador Show | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 9 | Fray | 5.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 8 | Total Destruction | 10.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Wind Zee | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Oma Lee | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lady Date | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pink Appeal | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Glads Love Cat | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Emery’s Dream | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Smoothoutthetrack | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Floatie | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz Darby | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cosmic Cat | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Good One | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kiang | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Sky Ride | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Red Hot Devil | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Kinzea Stone | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Money Biz | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Dynamo Kid | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Runchiefrun | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tres Chiflados | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Daggers Arch | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Putthehammerdown | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Artistic Jewler | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Queen of Carnival | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Party Goer | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Carpe Casanova | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Take Charge Cece | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gretchen | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mi Chachis Intenta | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gaelic Tales | 6.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Fine One Won | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pleasant Mo | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Full Stride | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sweet N Salty Kiss | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Secret Enjoy | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Xingfu | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Skol Chant | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kilbarry Lady | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Suggestive | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Psycho Kitten | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Red Lingerie | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Teller to Sing | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Duchess of Dublin | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Lauralee Cocodree | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Slime Queen | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Quiet Dawn | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 10 | No Time to Play | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Run Ballerina | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Forever Shining | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Veilazig | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pepper Blossom | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Always Grace | 5.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Oxbowindy | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Hollybear | 6.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Reborn | 12.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Scarlet Beauty | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Brooklyn | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Swimhard Dreambig | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Buggels Girl | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.