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Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Friday, December 6, 2019

December 6, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Southern Dudette 2.50 SCRATCH
8 7 Mintappearence 3.50 4.2 8-1
7 6 Swinging Bridge 6.00 4.3 8-1
9 8 Lady Belacqua 10.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Jolie Gee 8.00 5.1 10-1
6 5 Ratatouille 12.00 6.1 11-1
4 4 Paper Doll 12.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Honest Victory 15.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Gone Pecan 5.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Quiet Trip 3.00 4 8-1
3 3 Katiebmeister 3.50 4.3 8-1
7 7 Ten Tap Dances 5.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Chatain’s Flyer 4.50 4.7 9-1
4 4 Miss Mabelee 4.50 4.8 9-1
10 10 Ladygogently 8.00 6 11-1
2 2 Jozzy Bell 8.00 7.6 14-1
5 5 Star Countess 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Kohensrising 15.00 9 17-1
9 9 Mostcourageous 30.00 9.3 17-1
11 11 Emily’s Pegasus 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Accustomed to Hope 3.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Susurro 5.00 3.3 6-1
11 10 High Hopes Dance 12.00 4.5 9-1
7 6 Queen Bindala 2.00 4.7 9-1
9 8 Half Vicki 12.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Stang It 12.00 5.9 11-1
5 4 Joey G 6.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Sofia Kape 20.00 7.3 14-1
6 5 Badger Basin Belle 20.00 8.3 16-1
10 9 Mary’s Wish 15.00 9.2 17-1
4 4 Miss Invader 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Freakonthelead 4.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Fulkerson 3.50 4.6 9-1
4 4 Magnanimus Man 6.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Cameron Rules 8.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Wickets Way 2.50 5.2 10-1
9 9 Fancy This 12.00 6 11-1
7 7 Fusaichi Flame 12.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Crider Cash 10.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Mr. Bandini’s Band 10.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 He’s a Lucky Man 3.50 3.2 6-1
7 7 No Ka Oi 4.50 4.1 8-1
2 2 Favorite Son 4.00 4.2 8-1
10 10 Flash It 8.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Dr. Forman 6.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Last Battle 12.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Soul Temptation 12.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Corvette Spirit 8.00 6.1 11-1
1 1 Putthehammerdown 12.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Spicy Legacy 10.00 6.9 13-1
11 11 Chrome Fire 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 King of the Testo 2.50 3.3 6-1
9 9 Odyssey Explorer 3.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Opportunity Cost 8.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Thunder and Rain 4.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Blue Houdini 6.00 6 11-1
4 4 Run Adrian Run 20.00 6.6 12-1
8 8 Brandi Bo Dandy 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Cajun Cash 15.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Little Mario 20.00 8.8 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Pay the Dream 3.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Navy Times 10.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 See Carlos Run 5.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Pickett 3.50 5.1 10-1
4 4 Mr Makeithappen 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 No Game for Sissys 20.00 6 11-1
6 6 Prizeless 8.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Classic Greeley 15.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 King Cookie 4.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Hatties Jewel 3.50 4.6 9-1
3 3 Top of the Page 3.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Suspect a Storm 10.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Risky Steps 15.00 6 11-1
2 2 Luke’s Cajun Star 6.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Broke in a Flash 8.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Just Kissing Buck 15.00 7.5 14-1
4 4 My Wise Cat 15.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 Bushido Samurai 10.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Macandales 4.00 7.6 14-1
11 11 Why God 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Peacefully 1.60 2.8 5-1
3 2 Granfathersleugirl 3.00 3.3 6-1
1 5 Chatain’s Eagle 4.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Smart N Holy 12.00 6.1 12-1
1A 7 Chatain’s Choice 4.00 6.3 12-1
5 4 Old Time Girl 10.00 6.4 12-1
7 8 Golden Knot 15.00 6.8 13-1
8 9 Irish Priority 10.00 7.1 13-1
9 10 Something for Mama 20.00 7.3 14-1
4 3 Diamond Flyer 15.00 8.3 16-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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