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Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, December 7, 2019

December 7, 2019 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Towards the Light 5.00 2.6 5-1
8 7 Seattle Encounter 4.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Bully for Eric 2.50 4 8-1
6 6 Puriano 3.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Rmanie’s Grey Suit 4.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Harrovian 10.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Mi Bouchon 20.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Dutt Bart 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Malibu Magic 5.00 3.4 7-1
4 4 Spectator’s Dream 4.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Ultimate Shilo 12.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Western Flyer 4.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Sharpshootingeorge 8.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Fort Dodge 3.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 Derby Storm 3.50 7.7 14-1
3 3 Merwin’s Magic 20.00 9.1 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Blue Dancer 10.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Hootie 3.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Arch Anthem 2.50 4.2 8-1
1 1 Meistermind 1.80 5.1 10-1
2 2 Street to Indy 3.50 5.5 10-1
3 3 Bitter Ring Home 15.00 8.6 16-1
6 6 Single Me Out 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Los Alamitos Futurity

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 High Velocity 2.50 1.9 3-1
3 3 Thousand Words 1.60 2.8 5-1
1 1 Anneau d’Or 1.80 3.4 6-1
2 2 Wrecking Crew 3.50 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 League of Shadows 5.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Make It a Triple 6.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Speed Pass 2.50 4.7 9-1
3 3 Torosay 3.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Rick’s Dream 5.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Owning 15.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Rogallo 3.50 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Message 1.80 2 4-1
2 2 Smoovie 4.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Amatara 1.60 3.7 7-1
4 3 Mulhima (IRE) 12.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Mongolian Empire 8.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Ms Peintour 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Starlet S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Donna Veloce 0.80 1.8 3-1
2 2 Bast 1.40 1.9 4-1
4 4 Gingham 6.00 3 6-1
5 5 K P Dreamin 12.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Roadrunner’s Honor 15.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Ra’ad 1.80 1.5 3-1
2 2 Absolute Unit 2.50 3 6-1
4 4 Phast Pharoah 4.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 War Path 6.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Hallowed Gift 10.00 8 15-1
8 8 Moonlight Beach 6.00 8.6 16-1
5 5 Opus Equus 20.00 11.1 21-1
7 7 My Sunshine 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Champs Success 4.50 4.3 8-1
11 11 Tiger the Man 6.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Papa Tony 3.50 6.7 13-1
10 10 Baltimore Beecho 2.50 6.8 13-1
5 5 Radio Tim 20.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Beyond Precher 8.00 8.4 16-1
4 4 Ridge Route 12.00 8.8 17-1
8 8 Zees Empire 30.00 8.8 17-1
9 9 Startling 4.50 9.1 17-1
3 3 Tenga’s Gold 20.00 9.3 18-1
7 7 Overkoter 0.00 SCRATCH
12 12 He’s a Hit 3.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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