December 9, 2019 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Kid Macho | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Baby Bull | 1.40 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Hibachi | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Grande Gato | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mt Suribachi | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1A | 3 | Ronin Warrior | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Gaucho | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Curry’s Mountain | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Addison | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Harbour Way | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Karabessa | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dumtadumtadum | 1.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Frosty Friend | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Valid Treasure | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Empress of Fortune | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Our Claire Bear | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Saratoga Wildcat | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bust Another | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Soul P Say | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Li’l J | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Maimo | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Doddsprivatelabel | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Hide the Candy | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mrs. Phelps | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Betty’s Got Rythm | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Ell Be Eye | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Positive Force | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Phi Lii | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fastroadahead | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Ragazza Carina | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gunfighter’s Girl | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Run Florence Run | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | Dynamic Dynasty | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 4 | Otis Otis Otis | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Get Set | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Boston Light | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Noble Endeavor | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tiger Kingdom | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 6 | Val’s My Gal | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2X | 11 | Starling Prince | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Stash My Money | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Odds Are | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Something Pento | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Bridget’s Big Luvy | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Thomas Knight | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Draxhall Woods | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 6 | Samadi Sky | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chelios | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Factor This In | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Brio Man | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Candid Desire | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Bill’s Mafia | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Hey Jabber Jaw | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tale of E Dubai | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Arch Cat | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Getoffmyback | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Flashy Kyem | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tactical Pursuit (IRE) | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Atta Kid | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Get the W | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Asphalt Paving | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Splicethemainbrace | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Meade | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lazarus Project | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Strong Breeze | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Screen Saver | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mission Oberon | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Match Up | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 7 | Jack O Liam | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Notable | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Polished Steel | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Very Colorful | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gitidone | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | El Potro | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 4 | Truly a Moon Shot | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Smart and Tough | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Ebo Strong | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Lunar Rover | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tuffy’s Lucky | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.