December 12, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | Beaubouef | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Elite Runner | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Resilience of Love | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Ten Silver Pins | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bayou Bode | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | My Rainey Day | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Pierpont | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Christopher Cat | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Hot Ten | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Truly the One | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Cavallotto | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Watch My Smoke | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hot Zapper | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hawks Peak | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Familiar Rhythm | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Passing Simon | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Si Familia | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ben’s Magic Stone | 3.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Devil’s Pay | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Personal Conflict | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Nastida Mast | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Theboyzgrand Kis | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Slither | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | In a Bind | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Britts a Closer | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Strong Beauty | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Half Ours N Stormy | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dusty Boy | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | G’s Promise | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Boston Lover | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ready Redding | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Grade One | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Starship Zeus | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Buxterhooter | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Much Class | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Quicksilver | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Valyrian | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Landonese | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Big Boy Dave Rex | 10.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Destinedtobeastar | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sutton Impact | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lunar Light | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sarge’s Daughter | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | I Want a Picture | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | River Bobcat | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Legendary Larry | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stormation | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Reddy to Bet | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | I Rate First | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Born Again George | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Insubordination | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Dark Arden | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Paradise Reunion | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sooner Schooner | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Beautiful Honduras | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hush Y’all | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Duepeg | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Zionica | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Little Mercy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Elektracutioner | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Just a Bandit | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Diva’s Ransom | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Toga’s Margrock | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Untethered Soul | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | D D’s Delight | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Poopsie Doopsie | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Malila | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | My Ruston | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Miss Guretta | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Aloha Betty | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Condesa’s Handmaid | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | No No No | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Madeforlife | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mallory’s Home | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sassy Pants Susie | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dueforadate | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hiclass Production | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Cool Spring | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ballerina Boogie | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Unbridled Harlan | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Buy Me the Ring | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Charlotte Ann | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Speedpoint | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Queen Shasta | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shouldacouldawould | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Just Willow | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mardi Gras Parade | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Space Cowgirl | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.