December 14, 2019 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Norski | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Into a Hot Spot | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mighty Elijah | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mike Operator | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Fortnite Dance | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Darkhawk | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | An American Jet | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Biddy Duke | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Roses for Laura | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Smiling to Excess | 2.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Screen Gossip | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cat’s Dessert | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Acai | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Perfect Rush | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Magically Honored | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Keepinmypromise | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vannavanna Bo Bana | 4.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Akuba | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | K P Whirlwind | 3.50 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | K P Cats Wild | 6.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hay Belles | 30.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Salsa Verde | 15.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Speech | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Majestic Gigi | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Del Mar Drama | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Princess Mo | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Baby Boo | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Intentonseduction | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tale of the Tavern | 6.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Agave Queen | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Vermeer | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Hoss Cartwright | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Papa Splash | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Abdication | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Tiger On Your Six | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Blue Grass | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Irish Ballad | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Raw Diamond | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Speedy Ride | 12.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Passing | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Dr. Bagley | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Lake Show | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Temple Bar | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Circle the Red | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dream Palace | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nietzsche | 2.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Mountain View | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Code Gray | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Timetothinkrich | 20.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Madecents | 8.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Flawless Clyde | 30.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sixfourthree | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Capital Reef | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Pastor Mike | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Implicitly | 2.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Big Barrel | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wilshire Dude | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Original Intent | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tiz a Slayer | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Super Classic | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Union Station | 5.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mad At Money | 6.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Soviet Problem S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Smiling Shirlee | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cholula Lips | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Been Studying Her | 1.40 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Warrior’s Moon | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Almost a Factor | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Phoenix Tears | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jodie Faster | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nocherylikemychery | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | California Kook | 6.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Warren’s Showtime | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | I Belong to Becky | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Satanta | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Zipper Mischief | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Goldie’s Hills | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dubnation | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rinse and Repeat | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dialed Up | 5.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Occam’s Razor | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | King Eddie | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bouncing Around | 6.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Buck Duane | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Rickey B | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.