December 15, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Catcake | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Taking Notes | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fast Verdict | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Common Law Cat | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bettin On Bryan | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Gentleman Charlie | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Golden Palace | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Moyne Spun | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Herbs Love | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Graceful Request | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Fetching Fury | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 7 | Thai Chili Sue | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Sissy’s Kitten | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Miss Brookside | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Singmebackhome | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Alittlebitextra | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 10 | Weightlessness | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Front Page | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | V Man | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cool Quartet | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blue Steel | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ashlee’s Reward | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bluewater Cat | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Senator Con | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Boston Bind | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Last Nite Out | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Richie Gary | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Andy Jones | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | J C’s in Town | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Guitar King | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Looking for Bull | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tune My Guitar | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Costa Alot | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Cee R Bee | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Time On Target | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sparkys Surprise | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Baja Viper | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | B W P Express | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lauriano | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Horace Charles | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Rain Drop Kid | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Outrun | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Pranked | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Slime Queen | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alba’s Star | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Daddy’s Joy | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Melissani | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Copper Quest | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mi Chachis Intenta | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Take Charge Cece | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Harper’s Deelite | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 7 | No Parole | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Secret Redemption | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Thunk | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Keys to the Palace | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Guitar Tribute | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sir Pokerface | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Brook Is Golden | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tapit On Race Day | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1A | 10 | Soul Song | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lake Local | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Change of Control | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dance Rhythms | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Novo Azul | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Libby Knows | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Quick Quick Quick | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Somewhere | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mt. Rain | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Miz Shelton | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | La Femme Royale | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | El Hombre | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cheap Shot | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Two Date | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ten Grand | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | History Earned | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flashy Image | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I Don’t Fly Coach | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Quisty Boy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.