December 15, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Under City Lights | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dyna’s Gamble | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bullet Speed | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Orazio | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mazinaw Legend | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | San Nicola Brew | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Nu Baby Daddy | 20.00 | 11.4 | 21-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Ladies’ Man | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Big Hambone | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tall Water | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kilkenny Prospect | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | He’s a Gizmo | 4.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Capture the Ride | 10.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Cassie’s Rainbow | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Bread Crumbs | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Conquer the Breeze | 10.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spanish Matador | 8.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Awesome Game | 6.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Line of Kings | 20.00 | 13.2 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Have a Souper Day | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Artie My Boy | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Muskoka Storm | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Parmigiano | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Racing in the Rain | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Celebratory | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chasing Vinny | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | I Love Gold | 6.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Let’s Have Fun | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Victor’s Destiny | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Keep Marching | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Bartman | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 14 | 13 | Soul n’ Spirit | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Big Matteo | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Out of Cake | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Sundance Hit | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Secret Roi | 15.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kyslios’s Justice | 20.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Second Encore | 8.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Skipys Legacy | 30.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lord Pietro | 30.00 | 14.2 | 27-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Forehead Fred | 30.00 | 15.2 | 29-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Phantom Sky | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Dark Ale | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Red Return | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Google It | 3.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Artiesattheparty | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Veloce | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Palace Kid | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cosmic Experience | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Another Breeze | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blue Forester | 10.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shangassah | 10.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | A Gershwin Tune | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Matinee | 12.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stormy Egbert | 12.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Nevaeh’s Valentine | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Waldorf | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Glenville Gardens | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Be Vewy Vewy Quiet | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lookin for Eight | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Florida Won | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gigantic Breeze | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Differential | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Peace Seeker | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Guitar George | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Alice’s War | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Freitag | 4.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Constantino | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Virga | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Where’s the Widget | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Chiricahua Signal | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Heydon’s Case | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Riker | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Congeniality | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Epilogue | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Two Timing | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bay of Rum | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Willy’s Castle | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Gorgeous Kitten | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Brass Compass | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Souper Smart | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Corduroy Road | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Reconfigure | 2.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nashville Knight | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Piven | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Salieri | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Thor’s Rocket | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Silent Jimmie | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Valedictory S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Pumpkin Rumble | 1.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Surprise Twist | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | High Noon Rider | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Sir Sahib | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Theregoesjojo | 10.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Above All Names | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Auntie Katherine | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Itstartswithadrink | 50.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ammunition | 50.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Changi | 15.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fearsome (GB) | 8.00 | 13.7 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Muskoka Wonder | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Downy Boy | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | First Spring | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Sure Would Forest | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Alicia’s Kid | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fahrenheit | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Polydeuces | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gasconade | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cash Dividend | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spring Edition | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Break and Enter | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Admirals Cove | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Gaultier (FR) | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Follow My Lead | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Street Legal | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Badjeros Boy | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Who’s Got It | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Sine Metu | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cool Gizmo | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Duke of Miami | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rocket Plan | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Red Bo | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Conquest Eliminatr | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Leonard’s Bay | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Silencium | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Buttermilk Pike | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blessed Two | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Striders Ring | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Peace Control | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zoomer Music | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Meet Cute | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | True Dat | 10.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | No Question | 4.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Thanks Again | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | You Cant Catch Her | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dynamic Force | 10.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Gusto | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bet Alpha | 12.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 13 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Charge Ahead | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Analyzer | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rio Norte | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Laser | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Unsurpassable | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Captain Thunder | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | In Memory of Floyd | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Now We Are Nine | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Coleyville | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Show Me Your Spots | 15.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Native Prince | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Argentium | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Grom | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Where’s Anthony | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 14 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Alkeline | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Macho Bourbon | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rexdale | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Sailing By | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Forest Halo | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Marcherdowntheally | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mintaka Belle | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Brighter Ideas | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My New Venezuela | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tiz My Right | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stokes | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Canadian Magic | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | She’s Got Fire | 10.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Glib Marylin | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 15 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Darren’s Fortune | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Amnesty | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miriam’s Sky | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fafa Fooey | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Our Zuma | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bernotchie | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Poquito Bandito | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Major Kelly | 6.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hardy Candy | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thxforbeinmyfriend | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Radio Nowhere | 30.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stopvictimizingme | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hope Vision | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Foxy B | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 16 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Carlos Sixes | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Speed Gauge | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Hesathriller | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Coolshade | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Marcus | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Uno Champ | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Hythe | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Therealquaff | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Seventyseven Stone | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Street Cat Sam | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Cry Bao | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Harmony Hall | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Spin Boy | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | One Pound Sterling | 30.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

