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Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, December 15, 2019

December 15, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Under City Lights 2.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Dyna’s Gamble 2.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Bullet Speed 20.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Orazio 4.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Mazinaw Legend 20.00 6.6 13-1
7 6 San Nicola Brew 8.00 7.5 14-1
8 7 Nu Baby Daddy 20.00 11.4 21-1
6 6 My Ladies’ Man 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Big Hambone 3.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Tall Water 20.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Kilkenny Prospect 4.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 He’s a Gizmo 4.50 8.3 16-1
9 9 Capture the Ride 10.00 8.6 16-1
10 10 Cassie’s Rainbow 15.00 8.9 17-1
11 11 Bread Crumbs 12.00 9.5 18-1
6 6 Conquer the Breeze 10.00 9.8 19-1
2 2 Spanish Matador 8.00 9.9 19-1
7 7 Awesome Game 6.00 12.6 24-1
8 8 Line of Kings 20.00 13.2 25-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Have a Souper Day 3.50 2.2 4-1
5 5 Artie My Boy 2.50 3.1 6-1
3 3 Muskoka Storm 10.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Parmigiano 3.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Racing in the Rain 15.00 6.1 11-1
6 6 Celebratory 12.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 Chasing Vinny 10.00 7.2 14-1
9 9 I Love Gold 6.00 8.4 16-1
1 1 Let’s Have Fun 20.00 9.1 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Victor’s Destiny 3.50 2.1 4-1
12 11 Keep Marching 2.50 3.8 7-1
10 9 Bartman 6.00 5 9-1
14 13 Soul n’ Spirit 15.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Big Matteo 12.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Out of Cake 30.00 9.3 18-1
13 12 Sundance Hit 20.00 9.4 18-1
1 1 Secret Roi 15.00 11.6 22-1
4 4 Kyslios’s Justice 20.00 11.6 22-1
3 3 Second Encore 8.00 11.8 22-1
11 10 Skipys Legacy 30.00 12.6 24-1
7 7 Lord Pietro 30.00 14.2 27-1
6 6 Forehead Fred 30.00 15.2 29-1
9 9 Phantom Sky 30.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Dark Ale 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Red Return 4.50 2.9 5-1
9 9 Google It 3.00 3.4 7-1
7 7 Artiesattheparty 4.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Veloce 6.00 7.2 14-1
11 11 Palace Kid 15.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 Cosmic Experience 20.00 8.1 15-1
5 5 Another Breeze 20.00 9.1 17-1
2 2 Blue Forester 10.00 9.3 18-1
6 6 Shangassah 10.00 9.9 19-1
8 8 A Gershwin Tune 20.00 10.1 19-1
4 4 Matinee 12.00 10.4 20-1
1 1 Stormy Egbert 12.00 10.8 20-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Nevaeh’s Valentine 10.00 4 8-1
11 11 Waldorf 12.00 5 9-1
1 1 Glenville Gardens 12.00 5 9-1
5 5 Be Vewy Vewy Quiet 5.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Lookin for Eight 3.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Florida Won 10.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Gigantic Breeze 12.00 7 13-1
10 10 Differential 6.00 7.6 14-1
12 12 Peace Seeker 20.00 8.6 16-1
4 4 Guitar George 20.00 10.2 19-1
8 8 Alice’s War 20.00 10.3 19-1
7 7 Freitag 4.00 11.5 22-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Constantino 8.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Virga 3.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Where’s the Widget 4.00 4.7 9-1
11 11 Chiricahua Signal 5.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Heydon’s Case 20.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Riker 12.00 8 15-1
10 10 Congeniality 6.00 8 15-1
2 2 Epilogue 10.00 8.1 15-1
6 6 Two Timing 20.00 8.3 16-1
4 4 Bay of Rum 20.00 8.6 16-1
7 7 Willy’s Castle 20.00 9.2 17-1
12 12 Gorgeous Kitten 20.00 9.4 18-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Brass Compass 3.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Souper Smart 4.00 4 8-1
7 7 Corduroy Road 15.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Reconfigure 2.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Nashville Knight 8.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Piven 8.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Salieri 20.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Thor’s Rocket 6.00 7.8 15-1
8 8 Silent Jimmie 20.00 9.5 18-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Valedictory S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Pumpkin Rumble 1.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Surprise Twist 3.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 High Noon Rider 12.00 4.2 8-1
11 11 Sir Sahib 12.00 5 9-1
7 7 Theregoesjojo 10.00 5.6 10-1
9 9 Above All Names 30.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Auntie Katherine 30.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Itstartswithadrink 50.00 8.9 17-1
10 10 Ammunition 50.00 11.7 22-1
2 2 Changi 15.00 13.3 25-1
8 8 Fearsome (GB) 8.00 13.7 26-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Muskoka Wonder 2.50 3.3 6-1
4 4 Downy Boy 6.00 3.9 7-1
10 10 First Spring 4.00 4.6 9-1
11 11 Sure Would Forest 10.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Alicia’s Kid 15.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Fahrenheit 4.50 6.3 12-1
7 7 Polydeuces 20.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Gasconade 20.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 Cash Dividend 8.00 7.2 14-1
6 6 Spring Edition 20.00 7.8 15-1
9 9 Break and Enter 20.00 9.9 19-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Admirals Cove 3.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 Gaultier (FR) 15.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Follow My Lead 10.00 6 11-1
2 2 Street Legal 5.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Badjeros Boy 6.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Who’s Got It 20.00 6.7 13-1
13 13 Sine Metu 4.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Cool Gizmo 20.00 7.5 14-1
12 12 Duke of Miami 20.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 Rocket Plan 20.00 8.3 16-1
9 9 Red Bo 12.00 8.4 16-1
11 11 Conquest Eliminatr 20.00 8.7 16-1
7 7 Leonard’s Bay 12.00 9.1 17-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 14 Silencium 3.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Buttermilk Pike 10.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Blessed Two 6.00 5.3 10-1
11 11 Striders Ring 20.00 5.8 11-1
12 12 Peace Control 12.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Zoomer Music 12.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Meet Cute 20.00 7.5 14-1
3 3 True Dat 10.00 7.7 14-1
8 8 No Question 4.00 7.8 15-1
13 13 Thanks Again 30.00 8.8 17-1
10 10 You Cant Catch Her 20.00 8.9 17-1
9 9 Dynamic Force 10.00 9.2 17-1
5 5 Lady Gusto 20.00 10 19-1
4 4 Bet Alpha 12.00 10.2 19-1

RACE NUMBER 13 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 14 Charge Ahead 4.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Analyzer 3.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Rio Norte 8.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Royal Laser 6.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Unsurpassable 15.00 6.6 12-1
8 8 Captain Thunder 12.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 In Memory of Floyd 8.00 7.1 13-1
12 12 Now We Are Nine 20.00 7.2 14-1
6 6 Coleyville 20.00 9.5 18-1
10 10 Show Me Your Spots 15.00 9.8 19-1
5 5 Native Prince 20.00 10 19-1
11 11 Argentium 20.00 10 19-1
9 9 Grom 20.00 10 19-1
13 13 Where’s Anthony 20.00 10.1 19-1

RACE NUMBER 14 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Alkeline 4.00 4.1 8-1
14 14 Macho Bourbon 3.00 4.5 9-1
9 9 Rexdale 10.00 5 9-1
12 12 Sailing By 20.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Forest Halo 20.00 6.2 12-1
13 13 Marcherdowntheally 20.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Mintaka Belle 20.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Brighter Ideas 8.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 My New Venezuela 6.00 7.3 14-1
10 10 Tiz My Right 20.00 7.5 14-1
6 6 Stokes 15.00 7.5 14-1
11 11 Canadian Magic 15.00 8.6 16-1
5 5 She’s Got Fire 10.00 8.7 16-1
3 3 Glib Marylin 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 15 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Darren’s Fortune 8.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Amnesty 12.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Miriam’s Sky 2.50 4.3 8-1
4 4 Fafa Fooey 3.50 4.4 8-1
10 10 Our Zuma 10.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Bernotchie 20.00 6.7 13-1
13 13 Poquito Bandito 30.00 7.3 14-1
11 11 Major Kelly 6.00 7.7 15-1
2 2 Hardy Candy 20.00 7.9 15-1
1 1 Thxforbeinmyfriend 20.00 8.2 15-1
14 14 Radio Nowhere 30.00 9.3 17-1
7 7 Stopvictimizingme 20.00 9.7 18-1
6 6 Hope Vision 20.00 9.8 18-1
12 12 Foxy B 20.00 10.2 19-1

RACE NUMBER 16 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Carlos Sixes 2.00 2 4-1
3 3 Speed Gauge 4.00 2.1 4-1
11 11 Hesathriller 20.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Coolshade 6.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Marcus 20.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Uno Champ 8.00 6.7 13-1
14 14 Hythe 20.00 7 13-1
9 9 Therealquaff 20.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Seventyseven Stone 10.00 7.9 15-1
1 1 Street Cat Sam 30.00 8.1 15-1
10 10 Cry Bao 20.00 8.2 15-1
13 13 Harmony Hall 20.00 8.5 16-1
12 12 Spin Boy 20.00 9.7 18-1
4 4 One Pound Sterling 30.00 10.2 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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