December 20, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Eighty Seven North | 1.20 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blahnik | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sander’s Empire | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Causin’ Trouble | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | La Rubia | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nellie’s Cat | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Gunboat Diplomacy | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Icy Calm | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Smiles From Sadie | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | First Dawn | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Chillinwithfriends | 1.60 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Filly Ride | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Evade | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Banque de Margaux | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tokyo Bay | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Idaka | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6A | 5 | Queentigua | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8B | 7 | Shine Like Bobby | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Barker Lane | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7B | 6 | Wicked Kheisha | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Luzmaria | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Wisconsin Night | 1.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cape Cod Diva | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Can U Handle This | 15.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ghostly Beauty | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cairo Queen | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dazzling Speed | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Scoregirlscore | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Gambler’s Fallacy | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | H Man | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Peter’s Project | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Three to Thirteen | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Joe’s Smokin Gun | 1.60 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zonic | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mission Command | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Allured | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Like What I See | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Inscom | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Prioritize | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Proven Reserves | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Variant Perception | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kumar | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Family Biz | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Sargeant Drive | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Rucksack | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fair Regis | 1.40 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bluegrass Jamboree | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kept True | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jc’s Shooting Star | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Roxy Girl | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Filibustin | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Aunt Babe | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Freaky Styley | 0.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Crazy Life | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Implied Volatility | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Dancers for Token | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Kingfish | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Moonlight Now | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bank Gala | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Go With Honor | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Primo | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.