December 20, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 10 | Tuff Kid | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stephen’s Answer | 1.80 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Call Me Richard | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Point Hope | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Prospector Fever | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Hunters Appeal | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Oashaar | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Forgotten Coast | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Vinyl | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Louisiana Moon | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Custom Vision | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ipidate | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Gobler | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tiz a Secret | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Canyon Fire | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gifted Richter | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | King Zippy | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | King Formeredith | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ellerbe | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Spring Rodeo | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Run Away Ralph | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Speedy Huntur | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Jade’s Autumn Sky | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | M V P Mookie | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tin Delay | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Andiamo Giacomo | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Soul Song | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | By Our Love | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Custom Ready | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Now You Rules | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Putthehammerdown | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Broad Decision | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sailing Jett | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Bellarmine | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Throwacross | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hook | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shaboxxo | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nastida Mast | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | One King Cat | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Randy Paul | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Summer Appeal | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Actif One | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Stanton C | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Thats It Imleaving | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Salute the C | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Kinky Kim | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Star Gaze | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Right On By | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wakeway Dancer | 6.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Proudmoney | 2.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Out Late | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Becca’s Whisper | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Costa Sugar | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Princess Arwen | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Word of the Day | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Outoftheballpark | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mine Inspector | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Blues Man | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Go Get That | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Chroniqueur | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Thunder Box | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Caeus in Pasadena | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | La Clever | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | And Yet Another | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Interactif Moment | 10.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | C H My Last Dollar | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Zoot Suit | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lunar Light | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kissthatbabygoodby | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Beto | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Born Again George | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Handful of Stripes | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sr. Clarky | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Dixie Beat | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Wise Cat | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tez | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Treasure Trove | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Centsmybabyleftme | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shell Fire | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Populist | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Shae’s Day | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Double Cool | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Grand Little Man | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Johnnysjourney | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Our Prince | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tdz What a Dream | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Good Air | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flash of Pepper | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hezanothercorredor | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nickelonthetrack | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Big Band’s Luck | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kannon’s Bad Boy | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | St Basil | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Big Count | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Picacho Peak | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Jomo | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.