December 20, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Under a Spell | 0.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shelly Island | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Forthegreatergood | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Paul the Waiter | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Chesapeakecity | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Campari | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mine to Hold | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Walk Away Joe | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Final Proof | 1.40 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Great Quest | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ludicrous Mode | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bourbon Agogo | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Maximo Strong | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | My T Talk | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Song of Indy | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sharpin | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Marie From Parie | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Crossingthevalley | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Group Text | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Rumson Rally | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blue Danube | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stucco | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Eddy Dirt | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Voodoo Valley | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Once More Eh | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dreamin N Schemin | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ten Oaks Miss | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Judi Blue Eyes | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shotdowninflames | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Two Sixteen | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Don’tbaggagecheck | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Millie Child | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sipping Champagne | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Hello Amigo | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Team Effort | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kneesinthebreeze | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Welling | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Galerio | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Noble Way | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stand My Ground | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Going to the Lead | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Moti | 1.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ego Trip | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Marden | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Passport | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Victory Tour | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Fort Fortitude | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Workin On a Dream | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Factor It In | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Confessor | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hanalei’s Houdini | 2.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chargin Storm | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Smart Step | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cerulean Springs | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Easy River | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Great Provider | 4.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bust Another | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | War Stroll | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Finbar | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tambora | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6A | 6 | Birdies Honor | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Miners Quest | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7A | 7 | Elusive Hero | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.