December 21, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lawn Boy (GB) | 0.80 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Paid Holiday | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Me Darlin Chessie | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | White Russian | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dusky | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vern H | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Let ‘Em Roll | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cecil the Lion | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Gallanor | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shak’s Hidden Gem | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Priss | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Go Willow Go | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Princess A’go Go | 4.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Helen’s Pitch | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1A | 1 | Estrella Grande | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Graveyard Shift | 5.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 4A | 4 | Soldat House | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Coffee Please | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Leading Man | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Talented Dr. B | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sing a Verse | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Little Bay | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blade O | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Spiritus | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Play Boy Skoal | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Let Me Ask Bob | 10.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Wisky Charlie | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Invest | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tappahannock | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Junior Senator | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | San Marco | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Always Forgiven | 3.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Novus | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Benandjoe | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Offerhecantrefuse | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Auld Lange Syne | 20.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Sapphire Shilling | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Charging Lion | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nick Papagiorgio | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wild Haven | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hail to the King | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Last Chukker | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jericho Marsh | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lucid Dream | 5.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Rockin Anna Rollin | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rapidashqueen | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Meet Michelle | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Khalos Vision | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stylish Ninetynine | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fast Intentions | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bourbon Style | 12.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Always a Queen | 10.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pretty Edgy | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cant Hold Her Back | 20.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Run for James | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cause He’s Western | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Super Buddy | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Earned It | 4.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Monkey’s Medal | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sir Brahms | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Whole Lotta Luck | 4.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Linda’s Nekia | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Candy Asset | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Limited View | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Conjecture | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Turkmenistan | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Money Fromheaven | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Vicki | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Caramel Cream | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cee Bee Gee Bee | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | My Star Potential | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Order for Porky | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Liam’s Fire | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Eje Gama | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Security Breach | 2.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dreams of Yvonne | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Market Mover | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Friend Casper | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Captain Harley | 30.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.