December 27, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 4 | Red Clay Magic | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Pocket Personality | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 6 | His Giant | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 3 | Starship Zeus | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Hatties Jewel | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 5 | Sugar Footin Bling | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Valyrian | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Magnanimus Man | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Giant Mesa | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 8 | Grade One | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2B | 4 | Gentrified | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Adonis Creed | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 5 | Late Nite Mischief | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Laddie Boy | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Extirpator | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Front Door | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Just Stormin | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 10 | Always a Catch | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 9 | Lucky Inferno | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | I’ll Raise You | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Freddieslilwildcat | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Whiskey’s Gone | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Callmechamp | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Drewtempo | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sir Etney John | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | G Cisive | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mister Ander | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Superconductor | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Hero Pappy | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Kiss Your Bride | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Relentless Attack | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cheers to Berti | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Union Salute | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bwana Go | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sea Treaty | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | My Buddy Chuck | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Trapper Peak | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Point of America | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Handsome Harve | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Fancy This | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | A We Bit Flirty | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Overnight Stay | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Whathadhappenwuz | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Parlay Pete | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Slither | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rahil | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | He’s a Lucky Man | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | In a Bind | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Liken It | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Justin’s Pride | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kurts Raider | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Avery’s Palace | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Spicy Legacy | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dream Twister | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Harvey | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Her Kare | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | It’sakatfight | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Moonfield | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Swinging Bridge | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dev Mo | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Goldie Again | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Boss Lady Melissa | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Casual Cool | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | She’s Got Moxy | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Charzee Baby | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Muskarella | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Argument Won | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | D’wildcat Indian | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Glorieta | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Swiftown Miss | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz One Fee | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Princess Gianna | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Go Selma T | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jewels of Sorce | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Seveneightnine | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Lookout S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Dale’s Lil Sis | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tensas Thought | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tenpins Tempo | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blue Suade Guitar | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Yonna She Goes | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Yalisha | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Salty Martini | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mi Copa Rebosa | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Thegrayspider | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bella Cajun | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Granfathersleugirl | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sudden Afleet | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Chatain’s Eagle | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bama Girl | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Old Time Girl | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Party With Kassidy | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Ours to Hold | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Zugersee | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Runpeggyrun | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My Little Charlie | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Half Moon Maiden | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Smooth Rapids | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.