December 28, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Fort Royal | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ready to Run | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Buddy’s Run | 1.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cool Man Cletus | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Man Pots N Pans | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cast the Lot | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Destruction | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Absolved | 3.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dig Charlie Dig | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Crouchelli | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Let’s Play Nine | 1.40 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cheytac | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jump Jive an Wail | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | In Equality | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Dave’s Friend S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Threefiveindia | 0.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Home Run Maker | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Arch Cat | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Clubman | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Smooth B | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Isotherm | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fiber and Emily | 50.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Won and Done | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lady by Choice | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Warm | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Its a Journey | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | No Mo Lady | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cee Bee Gee Bee | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Scatrattleandroll | 4.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tanda’s Joy | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Gin Talking S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cofactor | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bella Aurora | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ankle Monitor | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Naughty Thoughts | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Princess Adira | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Precious | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fly On Angel | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Still Alive | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chilly Sky | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Wonder City | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Native Dancer S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Alwaysmining | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Someday Jones | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Major Cabbie | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Monongahela | 1.60 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stadium | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bonus Points | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Honor the Fleet | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Heft S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lebda | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Monday Morning Qb | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Romanoff | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dontmesawithme | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | New Commission | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nucky | 3.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hockey Puck | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hopeful Treasure | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Admiral Eastwood | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Willa On The Move S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Mess’n Around | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Majestic Reason | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cause I’m Edgy | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wildcat Combat | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Last True Love | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Angel At War | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Baby Boss | 2.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Phantom Shot | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Chiefs Kingdom | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Reflect | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Las Setas | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | My Queen Michelle | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Bad Red | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Twirling Liz | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mamma Dee | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cassidy Ave | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Janelle Dreams | 3.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mija Bella | 12.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.