December 29, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Incoming Wire | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Run By | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Salt Life Angel | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I Am the Fire | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Susie’s Songster | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Our Sweet Daisy | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Little Girls Rule | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Harper’s Deelite | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Palvera | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | No Quarter | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Secret Redemption | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Friday’s Best | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jax Man | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tapit On Race Day | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Britts a Closer | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Keys to the Palace | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nine Is Mine | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Thunk | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Loveu and Proudofu | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Daddy Cool Cat | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Truth Teller | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Flat Out Cat | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Homefortheweekend | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Odyssey Explorer | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Al Taweel | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smithwick | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Half Trick | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Homeview | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Matheson | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | J Rob | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Crealock | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Atlas Moon | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Archrival | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lafitte’s Fleet | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Resurgent | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mom Said Yes | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Data Load | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Topshop | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Demi Patrick | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Runchiefrun | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gambler | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Country Berti | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Lightning Lee | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Hideaway Hero | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Dutchman | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dry Wood Creek | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | From Now On | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Ide B a Classic | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | El Tristan | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Shaniko’s Secret | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Grand Argument | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hansen’s Holiday | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Zumurudee | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1A | 2 | Tackett | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Secretary At War | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 4 | Majestic Pride | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 3 | Say the Word | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Zero Gravity | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 5 | Honovi | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Red Right Hand | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Louisiana Futurity
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Our Lost Love | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Vacherie Girl | 0.80 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Sing the Song | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lucky Artie | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lady Be Gone | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lizzy’s Star | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Oretta | 50.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lone Star Diva | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Somekindawicked | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 10 | Sense of Self | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Speed On Tap | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Cindy’s Prayer | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Nodoubtabouther | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Vintage Ready | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Jim’s Bronze Star | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | My Heart Sings | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Well Respected | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Dulcimer Dame | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Annazon | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cazadora | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Misty Day | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dynamite Gift | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Darling Belle | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Speedy Mandate | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Motown Girl | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Louisiana Futurity
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Richard Ronald | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | X Clown | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Luckenbacher | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Too Much Bourbon | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Free Indeed | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Louisiana Hero | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Alterana | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Whacudposblygowrng | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Fast Verdict | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Guitar Tribute | 10.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Reach the Circle | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | No Quarter | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Britts a Closer | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.