December 29, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Time Flies By | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Baptize the Boy | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ziggy Mon | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Revolutionary Road | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Seany P | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pool Boy Charlie | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Turkmenistan | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Moon Virginia | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Terp | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dr. Ann | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fanniebellefleming | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dazzle Me | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Start With Yes | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Muchacho | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Vee’s Super Star | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Team Effort | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sneads | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Scaramucci | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Antipoison | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Admiration | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Due West | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rip Rap Riley | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Baron of Bluegrass | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Unnamed Soldier | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | La Maquina Gris | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shackled | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Steps to Glory | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Circle of Light | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Flat Out Mine | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Quickhatch | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Call Me Jelly Roll | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Olive Kat | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | One Two Three Go | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Liz’s Smile | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Foggy Dreams | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bettyann | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sherwood Lady | 10.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Risaalaat | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Candy Asset | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | King of All Media | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | A True Gentleman | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Forty Acres | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Prime Time Man | 2.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | It’s a Plane | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kierland | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Praise the Moon | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sir Douglas | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sidewalk Prophet | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Linda’s Nekia | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | So Gracious | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Weekend Delight | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vow to Dance | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hydra | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Candy Money | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Black Kettle | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Song of the Night | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Baytown Glory | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Special Intention | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Grand River | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shadow Boxer | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Awesome Agenda | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lucky Junior | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Wilko’s Goldeneye | 4.50 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Patriotic Quest | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Majestic Doctor | 15.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | One Real Cowboy | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wild River | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Still I Wonder | 1.80 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Daper’s Drink | 3.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blade O | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Berrinche | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Above It All | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.