December 30, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Wild Boar | 1.20 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Disciplanarian | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Primo | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bank Gala | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dutchmen Forever | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Golconda | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kid Chocolate | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Blues City | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Shortandsimple | 1.60 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tiz Epic | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Money Ride | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kampai | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | King of American | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Managing Risk | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | High Amplitude | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | One Eyed Jack | 1.20 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Road Home | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Superfan | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fast Master | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mucho Sunshine | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Faze | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Pachamama | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Free Kitty | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Theodosia | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stay Fond | 0.80 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cotton Candy Cutie | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Judgement Free | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rattle the Stars | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Princess Mikayah | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bourbon Mission | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Mo Diddley | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Summer Bourbon | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | H Man | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blue Belt | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Manifest Destiny | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Psychic Energy | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bronx Bomber | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Laura’s Posse | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | San Juan Diego | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Honey I’m Good | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Avalina | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Alisio | 1.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Posse Needed | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Filibustin | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Calinas Song | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dugout | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Celtic Chaos | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Honor Up | 1.80 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tribecca | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | P J Advantage | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Eye Luv Lulu | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sicilia Mike | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Coolboy | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 7 | Magnetique | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Take Charge Donna | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Maru | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cazilda Fortytales | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 6 | Broadway Angel | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Maqua Dawn | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 5 | Mebs Web | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Luzmaria | 50.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shafer Hall | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 4 | Empress Luciana | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Barker Lane | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Bella Domenica | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Pippi | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.