December 31, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Vibrancy | 0.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Superbloodwolfmoon | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Saffron Girl | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1A | 1 | Wicked Kheisha | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Roma Carpe | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4A | 4 | Shine Like Bobby | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hard Won | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Excess Capacity | 1.20 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Purely Lucky | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Movie Score | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tequila Sunday | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Cool as You Like | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Evan’s Nice Now | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sister Emily | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Modernist | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Portos | 1.40 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cowtown | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Feeling Dangerous | 30.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Call Me Later | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fiat Lux | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Wegotoldyougotsold | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Coltandmississippi | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Win With Pride | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Candy Promises | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Deep Sea | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Dark N Cloudy | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hardcore Folklore | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6A | 5 | Thousand Percent | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Seanow | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Other Things Equal | 1.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Talent Scout | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Waynes Footsteps | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Beachside | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | The Honest Toun | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bad Guy | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Soul Fight | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Mr. Vincent | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Paynter’s Prize | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Scrutinize | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Financialstability | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alongcametheprince | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Silver Seeker | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Vintage Hollywood | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | High Command | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Bebe Banker | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ten Twenty Nine | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Operation Roses | 1.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Jack Bo | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Patagonia | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mathematician | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Communicator | 0.40 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Creative Style | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Moretti | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Smidge | 50.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Lorcan | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Hudson Overpass | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Da Berg | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | El Sangru | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Apex Predator | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Blessed Honour | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Freudian Analyst | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Narcissistic | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Rightdowngentlemen | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Gratto Swing | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mighty Wind | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.