January 1, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Gottahaveaholiday | 1.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Laquezza | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Shannon’s Girl | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4A | 3 | Our Ticket | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6A | 5 | Happy Music | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jasminesque | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Happyandiknowit | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gracetown | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Girl of Tosconova | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Overheated | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Princess in Charge | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Floss Dancer | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chillinwithfriends | 2.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | New York Supreme | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bankers Daughter | 1.20 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bella Invasion | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Queen Kimberly | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rosey’s Invasion | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Irena N Ella | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Steal My Heart | 50.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Helmers Run | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Flat Calm | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Archumybaby | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Letmetakethiscall | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | World Riot | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cartwheelin Lulu | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Exceed the Goal | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | First Forever | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9A | 7 | Too Fast to Pass | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Langdarma | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | So Sublime | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4A | 3 | Gypsum Johnny | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Scarf It Down | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Moneymeister | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | What a Catch | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Javelin | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Where’s Rudy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 10 | Real Dan | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Gaultier (FR) | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Toohottoevenspeak | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Champagne Papi | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Reflect | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Champagne Bliss | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Break Curfew | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Carrizo | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5A | 4 | Slimey | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Queen Kahen | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sea Sparkle | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Trans Mississippi | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Jerome S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Independence Hall | 0.20 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bourbon Bay | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Celtic Striker | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Polar Bear Pete | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Inside Risk | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Dubai Bobby | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Prince of Pharoahs | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2A | 2 | Autostrade | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3A | 3 | Purchasing Power | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Woodbury | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Internet of Things | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blue Skies Forever | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dooley | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Booby Trap | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sounds Good | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Local Edition | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Captain Frost | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.