January 1, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 8 | Andthebandplayedon | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Front Money Morgan | 1.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 6 | Star Performer | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 3 | D’or Fille | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Kool Aid Girl | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Compromising | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Just Cruising | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Proudmoney | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tell Tonto | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | La Vida | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wings of Fury | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fika | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Upgrade Me | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Celestial Dream | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Champagnerie | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Revealing Quality | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cirrusly | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Priceless Nellie | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Madison’s Wild One | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sweet Carli | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Aurora Pine | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Actress On Board | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Desert Thief | 1.40 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Lu Sea | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Rake It Up | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Arrowsphere | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Jaded Rose | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Niece Jackie Davis | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Baylor | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Hero of Gold | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Forty Nine Model | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Commercial Flash | 8.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Guilty Confession | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Foursweetnieces | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Lebkuchen | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 1 | Balook | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 6 | Able Catch | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 10 | Charsey | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Ibluffalot | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Spider Legs | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1A | 15 | Hip Flask | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2B | 14 | Decadent Diamond | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3C | 16 | Adina | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | She’saholyroller | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Ezee Enough | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Jo Jo’s Halo | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ike Walker | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | True West | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wildcard Prado | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Got Gold | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Honor Mission | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chop Chop Charlie | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dancehall Jack | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Caribbean Kitten | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Get Directions | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Wicked Valentine | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Summer Express | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Con Thien | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Quiet Dawn | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Goingtoagogo | 5.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | My Sugar Pie | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bonbons Fleur | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Razorback Honey | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Thirstyamericangal | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Suggestive | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Elite Class | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wild Union | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tactician | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Yashima | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lastchanceatglory | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Major Fed | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fort Knox | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Locally Owned | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Battlebus | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Uncapped | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Just Might | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Impeachableoffense | 5.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Snoose Goose | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Duncastle | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | A Song for Arch | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Commanding Candy | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tough Charlie | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Unrestricted | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Silver King | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jus Dream Big | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Izzy’s Baby Boy | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shae’s Day | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Chambliss | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Grand Little Man | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mister Intuition | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.