January 3, 2020 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | I’m d’Cat | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Second Guess | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Multiple | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Outrun | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Chroniqueur | 1.80 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Thunder and Rain | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Opportunity Cost | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | King Formeredith | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Saved At Sea | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kye’s Addycat | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Cajun Cash | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blue Houdini | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Fats | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mangelsen | 1.80 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pre Heat | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Captain’s Song | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Round Quarter | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tonnerre | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Nickelonthetrack | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kiss of the Wolf | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Correct Answer | 1.20 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lauralee Cocodree | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Our Amen | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Clytee | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Danza | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Crider Chase | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mighty Pegasus | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Brew Casa | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mintappearence | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mimi’s Song | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Paleeze | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Jolie Gee | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Honest Victory | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dixie Forest | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Terri’s Temper | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Heart of Soul | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Running Unbridled | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Absolut Neworleans | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Artist by the Sea | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Get It to Geaux | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | No Plans | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Crocodile Jacques | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Due Apeal | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | No One Greater | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Uncle Bird | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Valid Prospector | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Watchoutfor Taylor | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Spring Rodeo | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Personal Conflict | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Rare Poppy | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Skip’s Song | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ta Kela Warning | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ide Stang You | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Monarchos Prayer | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fee Fi Fo Fo | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Becky’s Dude | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Peace Treaty Pat | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Emma’s Gift | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Friendly and Kind | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Silver’s Swan Song | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Forest Girl | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spanish Arch | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tamariu | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kinley Cash | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Red Fern Doll | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Katniss | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Seveneightnine | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Promise Tender | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 9 | Buxterhooter | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Point Hope | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 4 | American League | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1A | 6 | Spirit of Caledon | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Magic Vow | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Pinch Assault | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Little Toe | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cap Rock Miner | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Blue Warrior | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Half Vicki | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Selenas Jewel | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Elizabeth’s Music | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Belinda | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Joey G | 2.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Old Time Girl | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Cabo Sunset | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Golden Knot | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Typhoon Zing | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sofia Kape | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | G G Has a Shot | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Missholysensation | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.