January 5, 2020 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Gray Gary | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Imagine Winning | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thunder Grunder | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mucho Macho Danny | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lectric Choke | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Victory Given | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Save Me Paula | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Blame the Kids | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sapphire Shilling | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6A | 6 | Stolen Love | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Quit Your Moanin | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Best Offer | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Greek God | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Pendrell Moon | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bigdaddysglory | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Lila | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Policy Mistake | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Long Key | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Down With Brown | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Special Power | 3.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lucky Ember | 4.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Unstopabull Belle | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cant Hold Her Back | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Youknowwhatitizzz | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Little Laughs | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Go Willow Go | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Princess A’go Go | 3.50 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Iam a Dancer | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Estrella Grande | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Arbutus | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Munsoor | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Justin Front | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | D C Fireman | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Once in a Lifetime | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Taskinas | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bricktop | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mega Millions | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Walk Away Joe | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Courtesy Shuffle | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hoss Kitten | 1.60 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Meet Michelle | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bow Maker | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Baby Bam Bam | 3.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Melisande | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | She Works All Week | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fair Winds | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Carousel Marge | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cloud Chaser | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bobby G | 1.20 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sparty | 1.80 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Incorporate | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spring Emperor | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Threethehardway | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Linda’s Nekia | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lunar Rille | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Our Star | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Esterina | 1.80 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Don’tbaggagecheck | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fairy Wish | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.