January 10, 2020 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Fire Makers Star | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Heart Warrior | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Canyon Fire | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Speedy Huntur | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | He’s an Honest Man | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Combat Command | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Flash’s Adventure | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Meditate | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hope for Value | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Atdabarwithmerrill | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Custom Vision | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Whiskey’s Gone | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | J P’s Pride (IRE) | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Always | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | D Two | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flat Out Love | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Quicksilver | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Cane | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Such | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Drewzano | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | She’s a Fair Catch | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Enough Heart | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Margie’s Rouxbee | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Oh Toodles | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sassy Camille | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Southern Galaxy | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nonchalantly | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mandy’s Cuckaburr | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Listen Mylee | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Bossy’s Trouble | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Itybityquikasakity | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Dignityto Infinity | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Don’t Split Tens | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Outofthisgalaxy | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Throwacross | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Shaboxxo | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hawks Peak | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ben’s Magic Stone | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Si Familia | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Passing Simon | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Actif One | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stanton C | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Thats It Imleaving | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Queen of Carnival | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Judy’s Prize | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Green Monster | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jade d’Oro | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lucky Queen | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Twilight Glow | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | West Bank Baby | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Your My Sunshine | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stop the Friend | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Classy Birdette | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Minertime | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shi O’Shi | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Haleys Heist | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wheres Mom | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nancy’s Rescue | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Stillatune | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Itsnotmyjob | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Strong Beauty | 4.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ashley Astray | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Recount | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Speedy Fellar | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mick’s Star | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bistraya | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Grand Luwegee | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Flying Honeypot | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Double Star | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nomo Ron | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gold Buyer | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nate’s Attack | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Orleans S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Unbridled Class | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | A Thousand Reasons | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Drip Brew | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shes Our Fastest | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lunar Approach | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Karate Hottie | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | The Aurelia Factor | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I’mnotshyi’llbuy | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shaharazad | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | D’dawson | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Geauxcro | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bitsy’s Carlos | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hermano T K | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Smooth Colliery | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mug Shot Man | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Alluring Actor | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sunnyonastormyday | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | A Flash of Copper | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Drakkar | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bayou Bode | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Butter Hut | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Skylar’s Way | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Susurro | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Elizabeth’s Music | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Money Sunk | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cabo Sunset | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fickle Flash | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Orthodox Beat | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Little Brown Eyes | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Red Rebel Star | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Seismic | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ladie Verrazano | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Sudden Afleet | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.