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Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, January 11, 2020

January 11, 2020 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Power of Character 2.50 2 4-1
4 4 Better Angels 5.00 4.1 8-1
11 11 Bind Me Up 6.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Clever Music 10.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Total Lilly 6.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Itybityquikasakity 10.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Miss Dawn 12.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 My Little Diva 10.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Miss Lucky Ducky 12.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Devastating Beauty 20.00 8.1 15-1
10 10 Lady Hopper 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 King Bayou 4.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 Cool Individual 3.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Thirtysix G’s 2.50 3.9 7-1
8 8 Atlantic Ruler 8.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Victory Bind 6.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Speedactus 6.00 5 9-1
6 6 And Yet Another 15.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Johnnysjourney 8.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Hanging Lake 2.50 3.1 6-1
5 5 Dancepark 5.00 4 8-1
7 7 Dixie Lady 2.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Boston Baby 20.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Alys Episode 6.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Takilla Shotz 15.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 We Can Dream 10.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Camille’s Court 6.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Charmin Dixie 2.50 2.9 5-1
4 4 Cuckoo Kenia 4.00 3.7 7-1
11 11 A J’s Grand 6.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 See What’s What 5.00 5.6 10-1
9 9 Miss Wekati 4.50 5.6 10-1
6 6 D’wildcat Indian 10.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Memory Magic 8.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Pitcher 20.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Seattle Brew 10.00 7.3 14-1
10 10 Grace of David 12.00 7.9 15-1
1 1 Out Late 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Mizz Tutu 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Expensive 6.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Flash It 3.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Last Battle 2.50 3.9 7-1
4 4 By Our Love 8.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Corvette Spirit 4.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Elisher 8.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Favorite Son 12.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 F J’s Gem 20.00 7.7 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Majesto 2.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Gotta Go 3.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Zipzaptime 5.00 5 9-1
1 1 Pointman 8.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Broadway Ice 12.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Blushing Dreamer 6.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Multiple 10.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 Liam Skye 12.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Navy Typist 20.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Matt’s Pride 4.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Lone Star Diva 3.00 3 6-1
5 5 Louisiana Special 10.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Storied Trip 4.50 4.8 9-1
8 8 Run Now Estella 8.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Wildabout Audrey 5.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 She’saholyroller 12.00 7.2 14-1
9 9 Zola 6.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 Madelyn’s Moment 20.00 8.8 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Sam’s Town S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Eurobond 5.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Laughingsaintssong 2.50 3 6-1
4 4 Wonder Run 6.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Paddock Pick 3.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Elkhorn Poet 8.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Win Lion Win 10.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Flat Lucky 4.50 5.3 10-1
3 3 My Pal Jac 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Insubordination 4.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Big Em C 3.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 I Want a Picture 6.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Sonoma Crush 6.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Masterly 1.80 4.5 8-1
7 7 Adios Yankee 12.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Reddy to Bet 8.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Mr. E Edwards 2.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 Ray’s Kimua 4.50 3.5 7-1
8 8 Jack’s Kiss 3.50 3.9 7-1
9 9 Charlie Gulch 8.00 4.6 9-1
10 10 Hezanothercorredor 12.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 D J’s Finale 15.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 McLean 6.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Ambassador House 12.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Geaux Dubai 10.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Fooling Jay 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 St Basil 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Our Prince 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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