January 12, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fist of Rage | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Curlin Grey | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Call the Colonel | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Al Taweel | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lemon Blitz | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dickinson’s Image | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Homefortheweekend | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Offspring | 1.40 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Foreign Connection | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Aly’s Charm | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Playin N Traffic | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fuhrcry | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lil Ashley B. | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Run By | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Elegant Elle | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Kai Baby Kai | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | M V P Mookie | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Half Pipe | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Drilling Report | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Totally Addicted | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tucker the Grouch | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | C F Johnathan | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | Kierkegaard | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Devil’s Drama | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 4 | Great Ulysses | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Winning Impression | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | The Gray Blur | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Disclosure | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Automate | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Mailman Money | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | River Finn | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Uncle Andrew | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Kunal | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Bodecream | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sincerity | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Grace Forever | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Georgia Dawn | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Oretta | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jet Sweep | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stellar Void | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Royal Priority | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Yes Gorgeous | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | B’s Ten | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Alexandra | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fort Polk | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Savvy Shipman | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Scootin Bayou | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Snowball | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Crimson Feline | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Marywood | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Sweet Carli | 1.40 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Upgrade Me | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Indomitable Spirit | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Carletta | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Run Ballerina | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Veilazig | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Korat Queen | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Starlight Sister | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | My Scarlet Beauty | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Overly Sweet | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fly Like a Bird | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 6 | Ameerah B | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Newellton | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Awesome One | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Hermajestycommands | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Freedom Passage | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Fairywren | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Endless Romance | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I Love to Race | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Gold Star Mama | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Chikara | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Fiancee | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Rhett n’ Scarlett | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Yes My Son | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Highly Centsable | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Taft’s Lil Boy | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Roses n’ Rubies | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lenape Drive | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Clever Racer | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Grand Ty | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Victory Trip | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.