January 12, 2020 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Order for Porky | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Irish Cork | 1.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Market Mover | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Super Dancer | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | A Gray for Carolyn | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Friend Casper | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Team Effort | 1.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Go Lover | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stand My Ground | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lotto | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dyna’s Knight | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Play Boy Skoal | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sexyama | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Twirling Liz | 1.40 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dance and Dance | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Simmard Shenanigan | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Alin Azul | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Arbutus | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Cry | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | La Maquina Gris | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Macho Miah | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Top Czar | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Battle Ready | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Social Media | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Finbar | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brother Tez | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Marylander | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Top Me Off | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rumson Rally | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Always Forgiven | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hunt Me Down | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jimmy Idontknowya | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Offerhecantrefuse | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Auld Lange Syne | 10.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Here Comes Mongo | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Wall | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Created Special | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Metal Magician | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Top Hat Scrutiny | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Evelyn’s Horseplay | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tale of Dixie | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Five Card Draw | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gallinipper | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Deshackled | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Five Star Perfect | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Distilled Spirit | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Boat Over the Hill | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Promising Pistol | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lectric Choke | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rockin Ron | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cocktail Shaker | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Thesweetesttaboo | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dat Dares Gold | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dorothyfromdublin | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Truly Hot | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hashtag Selfie | 2.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shecor | 4.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.