January 25, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Cowtown | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Modernist | 0.60 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Distorted Sky | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zuzudini | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Commissioner Dave | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Uncle Ned | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Too Fast to Pass | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Where’s Rudy | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Business Cycle | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Captain Frost | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 6 | Poshsky | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Three to Thirteen | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Six | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | So Sublime | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Fun Prospect | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Gio d’Oro | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Le General | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Frosted Ice | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Speightful Kitten | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kazmania | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hushion | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vicar’s Legend | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Quizzical Cajun | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stage Left | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sneakiness | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Seanow | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Our Last Buck | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tale of Mist | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Coach Villa | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mad Munnys | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mystical Song | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ventus | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 7 | Impetuous | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 13 | 8 | Brewman | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Jerry the Nipper | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Dangerous Edge | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Theitalianamerican | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Old Ironsides | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 1 | Beta | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | A Vow of Beauty | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Montauk Memories | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Inspector Henning | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 6 | Frozen Account | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Mommie’s Jewel | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Constant Quest | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bears Mafia | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Violent Delights | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Preternatural | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | I’m Elmer J Fudd | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I Saw It All | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 14 | 11 | The Honest Toun | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Letzgometz | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Alrahaal | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Jack Bo | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Cause for Applause | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Curlin’s Knight | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Moonbounce | 50.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | Our American Star | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Da Meister | 50.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Awesome Adversary | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Financialstability | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Daddy Knows | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Legion Storm | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Oh My Papa | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | True Gold | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Tiergan | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Beachside | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Ten Twenty Nine | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Imaginar | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 8 | Centrist | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Big Thicket | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Jazil S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Stan the Man | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Buff | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sir Winston | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Leitone (CHI) | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Roaming Union | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Backsideofthemoon | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Small Bear | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Adventist | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Broadway Angel | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Keypit | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hot Little Honey | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Queen Kimberly | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Kefaliani | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | More Diamonds | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kitten Heels | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Barker Lane | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Maybe a Rainbow | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Queentigua | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | On to Cincinnati | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lovely Ava | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.