January 26, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4A | 4 | Conquistador | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fast Break | 1.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spice Road | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1A | 1 | Flying Curlin | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dancers for Token | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Step to the Bank | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tri Saint Lorenzo | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Timely Tradition | 0.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Letmetakethiscall | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | World Riot | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Might Be | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | First Forever | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mazmania | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Offlee Irish | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Stone Breaker | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Massey Hall | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Winning Drive | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Blinded Vision | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Malibu Action | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Fifty Eight O G | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Brimstone | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Toohottoevenspeak | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Princess in Charge | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Orbilicious | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Appreciate | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Appletini | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gray Witch | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Roses From Ben | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | She’s a Lumberjane | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Dazzling Speed | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Air On Fire | 1.40 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Elios Milos | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Quick Entry | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Flat Rate | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Desert Lights | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ari’s Naughty Luca | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Call the Cat | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rockin Jo | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fleet Warrior | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bridlewood Cat | 0.60 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fair Regis | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Honey I’m Good | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Piedi Bianchi | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Posse Needed | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tanya’s Gem | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Ruthless S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Panthera Onca | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Wiggle and Jiggle | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cruise and Danze | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Well Brush Mytooth | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bay Jewel | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Miss Marissa | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Wicked Amber | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | The New Miami | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Love of My Heart | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 4 | Implied Volatility | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Pirelli Tower | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Hudson Overpass | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lorcan | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 3 | Talespin | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Da Berg | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Apex Predator | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Blessed Honour | 50.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Alert the Media | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 5 | Gratto Swing | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.