February 7, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Powered by Greeley | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
8 | 6 | Hot and Ready | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
4 | 4 | Tiz Darby | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
6 | 5 | Our Foolish Girl | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
2 | 2 | Tensas Weezy | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
1 | 1 | Emery’s Dream | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
5 | 5 | Sarah Ann’s Pointe | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
7 | 7 | Sandy’s Wager | 4.50 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 5 | Ballybrack Lass | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
8 | 7 | Mi Chachis Intenta | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
5 | 4 | Saint Kennedy | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
9 | 8 | Bonnet | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
4 | 3 | Chesapeake Bay | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
3 | 2 | Bet Your Bankroll | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
7 | 6 | On Deck | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
2 | 1 | My Little Fire | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
1 | 1 | Destiny’s Darling | 3.50 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Boston Bind | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
6 | 6 | Highly Centsable | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
5 | 5 | Alma Derby | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
1 | 1 | Grand Little Man | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
3 | 3 | Halostar | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
2 | 2 | Flashyboy Bobb | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
7 | 7 | Like Mike | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Heart of Soul | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
11 | 7 | Star Gaze | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
3 | 3 | Mill Falls | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
8 | 6 | My Pepper Ann | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
1 | 1 | For Real Alice | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
4 | 4 | Toodaloo to You | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
2 | 2 | Gabby’s Half | 4.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
6 | 6 | Spartanburg | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
7 | 7 | Tough Kicks | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
9 | 9 | Lost Prado | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
10 | 10 | Forgotten | 5.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | 8 | Lizzario | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
3 | 3 | My Scarlet Beauty | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
2 | 2 | Veilazig | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
4 | 4 | Twins Plus a Dot | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
7 | 7 | Starlight Sister | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
5 | 5 | Run Ballerina | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
6 | 6 | La Negra Noche | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
1 | 1 | Upgrade Me | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Theoryintopractice | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
3 | 3 | Make Me Smile | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
2 | 2 | Jus Lively | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
1 | 1 | Treys Midnite Moon | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
5 | 5 | In the Navy | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
6 | 6 | Remembermis | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
7 | 7 | Budro Talking | 3.50 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Have No Fear | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
7 | 7 | New Year’s Party | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
4 | 4 | Galaxy Thirtysix | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
5 | 5 | Sucre | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
3 | 3 | New Orleans Spice | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
2 | 2 | Diamond Crazy | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
6 | 6 | Yes Gorgeous | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 4 | Lexi Em | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
11 | 5 | Passport Required | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
10 | 3 | Gio’s Lil Angel | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
3 | 1 | Temple of Roses | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
4 | 2 | Blazing Hero | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
1A | 12 | Top Ten Duchess | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
2 | 1 | Strict Vow | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
5 | 4 | Trust in Love | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
6 | 5 | Tupelo Hon E | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
7 | 6 | My Little Rosy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
8 | 7 | Angel of Verdun | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
9 | 8 | She’s Our Star | 30.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Shaq Jack | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
8 | 8 | Linea Amarilla | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
2 | 2 | Mira | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
4 | 4 | Classical Dubai | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
1 | 1 | Time to Rome | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
3 | 3 | Fire Giant | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
7 | 7 | Our Bermuda | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
6 | 6 | Our Prince | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.