February 28, 2020 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Emily’s Pegasus | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | She’s Seventeen | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Buy Me the Ring | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Finding Value | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Given Kisses | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | No No No | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Papa’s Girl | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Selene’s Argument | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blondie Lox Babe | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Run Far Rylee | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Pitcher | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Toga’s Margrock | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Honest Woman | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Our Diamond | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ourgoldshalaylee | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ballerina Boogie | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dr. Frankie Kaye | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Princess Arwen | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Paleeze | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Guretta | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Red Princess | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Here Comes Linda | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lady Hopper | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | American Rebel | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Remi’s Rose | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Quick Heat | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bigjim’s Silvergal | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dancer On the Sand | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Charlie Sioux | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jo Jo’s Halo | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Julie’s Ghost | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Perfectly Precious | 1.60 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Any Ole Thing | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Agirlnamedsyd | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brahms’ Regal Gal | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Paradise Reunion | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Miss Cissy | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Run Rhea Run | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | She’s So Bossy | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Weavemeawinr | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Outoftheballpark | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Casual Cool | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Flash N Go | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Thirstyamericangal | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mystic Gem | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Starbuck Luck | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ante Vera | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Blowing Bayou | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Irish Priority | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Queen Shasta | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Little Fire | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Calaja | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Smooth Fantasy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Stormy Annie | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Lucky Lily Be | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Caught His Eye | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Mabelee | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Catbalee | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bankers Honour | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Money Sunk | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | U Thought U Got Me | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Final Design | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | G G Has a Shot | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Roll On Baby | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bermuda Bridge | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | City Gone Country | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Unmentionable | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Tenacious Faith | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Peach’s Swan Song | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Runpeggyrun | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Half Vicki | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Seismic | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Old Time Girl | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ladie Verrazano | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ideal Mallory | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Smooth Rapids | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Little Brown Eyes | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Boston Baby | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Holy Song | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Take Charge Brandi S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | West Bank Baby | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Topless | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Film Study | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Green Monster | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Strong Beauty | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Our Lost Love | 2.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Judy’s Prize | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Minertime | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nancy’s Rescue | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Taylor’s Lightning | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Right On By | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Paddy O | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Princess Gianna | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Glorieta | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mintappearence | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Argument Won | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Deep End | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Costa Sugar | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jewels of Sorce | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Eight Grand | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Realmente Calmada | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Dora Maar | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Owner Appreciation Distaff S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Summer’s Indy | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Reachreachreach | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fool’s Paradise | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Seeds of Time | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Best Kept Secret | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shes Our Fastest | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Operatic | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Perfect Reins | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Smok’n Rita | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Blue Suade Guitar | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Hyper Piper | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Baby | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Missbudlitelime | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | D’lady Fired Up | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Peacefully | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Takilla Shotz | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Golden Knot | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sweet Karma | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Susurro | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Something for Mama | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fickle Flash | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lady Miah | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Betty Gets Better | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.