March 15, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | Lexi Em | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Quiet Trip | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Ladygogently | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | She’s Seventeen | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lady Date | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Red Princess | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Lil Ms Bossy Pants | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mostcourageous | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Can’t Count That | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Harvey’s Song | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Federal Case | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 6 | Examiner | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 3 | Overnight Success | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Duncastle | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Mine My Time | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Jazzy Justin | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Love to Singh | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | V Man | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jail House | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ashlee’s Reward | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hitthegroundrunnin | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Go Get That | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Civil | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grand Ty | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bluewater Cat | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ginseng | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Enduringly | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | She Can’t Sing | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Duplicitous | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hendy Woods | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Queenofcatniphill | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Maga Suite | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Stars Forever | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rebeccas Truth | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Flashyboy’s Lilsis | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Carondelet | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Amelia | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fiery Flash | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Prayers | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hanging Lake | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Savvy Shipman | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Kraft’s Rate | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Brahms Baby | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bella Cajun | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Xairo | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Blowing Bayou | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | This Is My Prayer | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lady Fitzgerald | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Duepeg | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Latina Cantina | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Binding Agreement | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Win Ya Win | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | The Minit I See U | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gem of Carlos | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Papa Bro | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pickens | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Sir Pokerface | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Heza Priority | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Slither | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Credit Swap | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | So Alive | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Seek the Peak | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Patriot Drive | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Honovi | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sharp Prospect | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Irish Heatwave | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Around the Dial | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Zanesville | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Lusitano | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Winning Number | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Pure Valor | 1.20 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nocomet | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dewey’s Little Joe | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hey Chatain | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hezanothercorredor | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smooth Warrior | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lightning Harbour | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Big Count | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pillage Da Village | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.