April 16, 2020 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Here Comes Kyle | 12.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | One for Richie | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Ankeny | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Getaloadofthis | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Beemie Award | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cabot | 2.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Scoring | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bullion | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bear Oak | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | First String | 30.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Mr. Scissors | 12.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Mr. Shapoor | 12.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Exhort | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brother Martin | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Neverblink | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Name Is Phred | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cold Smoke | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Digital Star | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Score Board | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Cowboy Cool | 12.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | No Distortion | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sovereign Impact | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Pat Daddy | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Rockshaw | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Big Bella Brown | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bow and Arrow | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Top Brass | 4.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Control Stake | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hannity | 15.00 | 0.8 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Laddie Boy | 3.00 | 0.8 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Five Star Kip | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | On Patrol | 8.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zanesville | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | All About Ashley | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | He Will | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Take Charge d’Oro | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Driven to Compete | 3.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tashkent | 10.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sunday Sermon | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Reef’s Destiny | 15.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Sir Brahms | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | East Moon Lake | 30.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Heisfancy | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | October Sky | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lieutenant Powell | 4.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Strawn’s Cash | 15.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Young Bull | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Souixper Charger | 2.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Prospector Fever | 3.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Piece of Work | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Arrowsphere | 15.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Cowgirl Callie | 20.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Desha | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | J P’s Gladys | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Daaherachel | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blushing Bella | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smokin Hot Momma | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Dichotomy | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Shaharazad | 2.50 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Showit | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1 | Vokazak | 50.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | The Rouge Diesel | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Canadian Game | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Curlin Grey | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Magic Vow | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Wild About You | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Charlie’sarchangel | 3.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Red Again | 10.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 11 | Frost Or Frippery | 3.50 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 1A | 13 | Tales of War | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2B | 14 | Overzealous | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Carlos Sixes | 4.50 | 12.5 | 24-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | First Masamune | 30.00 | 13.6 | 26-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ocean Fury | 20.00 | 13.9 | 26-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Glamorized | 15.00 | 0.7 | 1-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sara Sea | 10.00 | 0.8 | 1-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Unique Factor | 4.00 | 0.8 | 1-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rahway | 20.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mongolian Humor | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Goodbye Earl | 15.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Calf Moon Bay | 20.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Seeds of Time | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Royal Gem | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Nonna Madeline | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Violation | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Miss Bigly | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Letruska | 4.50 | 12.7 | 24-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Starring John Wain | 12.00 | 0.7 | 1-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Attain Success | 4.00 | 0.9 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Firery Tale | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Take Charge Now | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Run Away Bett | 15.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jack Van Berg | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Three Footer | 15.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Market King | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Aggressivity | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Impeachableoffense | 20.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Temple Bar | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Special Reserve | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1A | 14 | Harlequin | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Sammys Dream | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.