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Churchill Downs Horse Racing Picks for Friday, June 5, 2020

June 5, 2020 Churchill Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Fra Mauro 1.40 2.2 4-1
3 3 Lngtermrelationshp 4.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Katzarelli 5.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Knight’s Cross 8.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Verve’s Humor 8.00 5 9-1
6 6 Johny’s Bobby 6.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Adhhar 6.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Lyonaisse 3.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 Whiskarita 2.50 2.8 5-1
6 6 Red Jersey 3.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Mi Chachis Intenta 3.00 2.9 6-1
7 7 Lillet 12.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Stellar Stiletto 15.00 5 10-1
4 4 Cafe Mischief 15.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Magna G Force 20.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Grab the Munny 3.00 3.5 7-1
5 4 Nomo Ron 3.00 3.5 7-1
8 7 Fascilitator 2.50 4 7-1
4 3 Sevier 8.00 4.3 8-1
6 5 Park Ridge Benny 8.00 4.8 9-1
3 2 Cee R Bee 12.00 5.6 11-1
2 1 Reason to Soar 10.00 6.2 12-1
9 8 Twinkling Knight 20.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 So Caught Up in U 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Breakthrough 2.50 3.4 6-1
8 8 Lucky as a Seven 4.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Indy Tourist 4.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Rustler 6.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Brew Pub 8.00 6 11-1
3 3 County Final 10.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Workin It 12.00 7.7 15-1
2 2 New York One 12.00 7.7 15-1
4 4 Baytown Bear 20.00 9.7 18-1
11 11 Little Alex 5.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Our Commish 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Miss Magdalena 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Mania 12.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Hulen 2.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Fast Bob 15.00 10.3 20-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 New Eagle 5.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Something Natural 3.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Gangly 6.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Ghost Game 6.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Pepper Pike 6.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Carpe Victoriam 5.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Artemus Eagle 4.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Jimmie T 20.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Olympic Romp 20.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Luminaire 5.00 3 6-1
2 2 Got a Good Notion 4.50 3 6-1
3 3 Teenage Kicks 2.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Orb’s Soul 3.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Kisses for Heidi 8.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Mrs. Kimberly K 12.00 5.3 10-1
8 7 Actress On Board 12.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Justa Simple Girl 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Bow Down Tewmey 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Shedaresthedevil 3.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Lucky Betty 3.50 3.3 6-1
3 3 Fire Coral 3.50 3.5 7-1
2 2 Alta’s Award 4.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Lazy Daisy 8.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Mizzen Beau 8.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Embossed 10.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Auction Fever 12.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Eternal Peace 3.50 2.8 5-1
9 9 Seranitsa 3.50 4.8 9-1
4 4 Vanilla Cat 10.00 5 9-1
1 1 Caira 6.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Woodfin 2.50 5.5 10-1
6 6 Private Beach 12.00 6 11-1
10 10 Singita Dreams 12.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Templuna 20.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Hashtag Winner 20.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Jen Take Charge 8.00 7 13-1
11 11 Smooth With a Kick 2.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Lido Key 3.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Ellens Birthday 50.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Channel Princess 15.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Velvet Crush 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 On d’Oro 4.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 Cernan 4.50 3.3 6-1
5 5 Wild Union 4.00 3.6 7-1
9 8 Can’tbetemall 8.00 4.6 9-1
11 10 Obiwan 8.00 7.1 13-1
10 9 J Z My Man 12.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Dynacharge 15.00 8.8 17-1
12 11 Beaver Hat 15.00 8.9 17-1
8 7 Parkland 15.00 9.3 18-1
7 6 Mister K 15.00 9.5 18-1
3 3 Mishawaka 12.00 9.6 18-1
6A 6 Fast Cash 10.00 SCRATCH
13A 13 Loan Shark 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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