June 28, 2020 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bella Figura | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Subzero Plus | 1.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Yare N Dira | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Afleet Connection | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Close Image | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gimbala | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Blue Forester | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Captain Vinnie | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Metadata | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Torah’s Blessing | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Firmly Grounded | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kilkenny Prospect | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Give Me an Eye | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bread Crumbs | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Crafty Conquest | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Trappeze Artist | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Truebelieve | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hushin’ Russian | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lakeside Park | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pinky Dude | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Street Silence | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Better Boogie | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Maritime Magic | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bokermin | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mister Oakley | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sterling Ice | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Born to Be King | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Four Aces High | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | King of Gypsies | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Homelander | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Forest Survivor | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dancing Dragon | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Greyshott | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Download | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Three Mile Limit | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Liars Club | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Decimator | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gospel Way | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Last American Exit | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Racing in the Rain | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Speedy Moonlite | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bend in the River | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Archie’s Link | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Impressive Speed | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Speedy Hans | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Union Appreciation | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Red Mercury | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | San Nicola Thunder | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Big League | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Constantino | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Front Nine | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Strate Remark | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Grom | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Crawl From the Bar | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fine Grit | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Get the News | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Princess Fabiana | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | West Paw | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Egyptian Nights | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Ariel | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bobbi’s Legacy | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tiz My Right | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Discreet Bear | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Betwixting | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fact Checking | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Roman d’Oro | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Western Taffy | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Bobbit | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Systemic Risk | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aunt Tillie | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Real Coal | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Risetothechallenge | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Last Sensation | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Wave Baby | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Steel Wool | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Creative Force | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Prince Martheus | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lord of Legends | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Battle of Yorktown | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Waltzing Champ | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.