July 3, 2020 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Mr Standing Ovation | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Sweet Maya | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jess Dashin Rogue | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Hes a Magic Rogue | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Callens Lil Blue | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Louisiana Paint | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Hotline Prize | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Patriot World | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Glendas Got Game | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Midnight Prize | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Son of a Rogue | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jrs Sir Growacet | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ttt Warrior | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Carter Winnin Edge | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Money Follow You | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jet Star Patriot | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I Cool Too | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jess Light It | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rf Debs Blues Man | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | One Sweet Boss | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Shortstop Express | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bugs Streakin Dash | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shu Boppin Samantha | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Uno Ima Fury | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bp Fancy Girl | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pk Shezafaster Rogue | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spee D Cat | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Merediths Cartel | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kk Blue Patriot | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tee Valentine | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Go Chewy Go | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Aint Miss Behavin | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Firejumper | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | J J Runaway Dash | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Leaving You Sizzlin | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fishin On Sixtysix | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stoli Got Game | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Devins Bar | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Onefamousgoodbyekiss | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mister Wine Opener | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Chase My Silks | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Eagles Goin Rogue | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Jessalilbit | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wild Memory of Jess | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ttt Cronos | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jess Apolitical Blue | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Brays Rapid Dash | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Jess Ray Ray | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Running to Finish | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Changing the Game | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Vinton S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lifeinthefastlanes | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jess U R Blue | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Runaway Second Down | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tdz Jet Black Down | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | No Freight | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Swamp Eagle | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Strut for Petes Sake | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | A Quick Jewel | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | One Fast Perry | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Jess a Fast Rogue | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Perry High | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Blues Train | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | First for Royal | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dianetogetanywhere | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Toast for Corona | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jet Black Who | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nd Personality | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Good Lookin | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mitey Game | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Geaux Wagon Geaux | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Derby) – Old South Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Ms Diamond Prize | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sensational Senator | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lovethewayyourun | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hit Or Miss Kiss | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fast Dash Hondo Cat | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mr Tereso | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Freighttrain Reba | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | A Game Jess | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Recognize | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Love the Way You Fly | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | No Politics Here | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Grand Legend | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Force of Anakin | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Game Overtime | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fabulously Black | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jesses Dynasty | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tf Shez Jess Dashin | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jess Tolltac | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tuckers Prize | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Agavero Cartel | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Futurity) – Lassie Futurity
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Ms Runaway Presence | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jess Her Dream | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jessa Louisiana Dash | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rf Runaway Duck | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sheza Freighttrain T | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sheza Zoomin Memory | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tees Snowlady | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jj Freighttrain | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | One Sweet Filly | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jessaprimadonna | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.