July 4, 2020 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tf Sweet Runaway | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tfzoomineffortlessly | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Zige Zige Zoom | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sheza Streakin Rogue | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tf Dashin Baby Perry | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Tm Monster Train | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Oh La Prize | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Miss Blue Prize | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Three R Poppin | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Mj Corona Blue | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Freakin Patriot Dash | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Im Mighty Fast | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Canselman | 1.20 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dwaynes First Perry | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Streak of Music | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Agoutis Snowplow | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rio Rojo Cosino | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Madelyns Beaux | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ajs Victory Beers | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Five Bar Toast | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rkm Jet Black Storm | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ima Streakin Okey | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Eyes a Runaway Dash | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Quik to Party | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ezamae | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | She Is Gone Stoli | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Louisiana Affair | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rt Lobita | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Feelin Right | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Carolines Rocket | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jess Sweet Time | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | My Bleu Heart | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Apollitical High | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Quicksilver B | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Carters Yachtz | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ajs Louisiana Fast | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Whos My Papa | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tdz Rolex Rattler | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Veep | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mai Relentless | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Patriot Day | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tf Perry On Fire | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tk Struttin Fast | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sheza Full Blood | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ds Pollitical Memory | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dlj Rusty Cartel | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jj Flyinginthewind | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ib Da Cartel Leader | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Develop A Plan S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Gunsmoke B | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dlj Imma B Famous | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fantasticazoom Jr | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Featuring Fast Jess | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Soft On the Coronas | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Psychopath | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | One Sweet Merlot | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rf Fast Dash N Blue | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | A Political Toast | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sg Kiss Pretty Girls | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eyesafamousgirl | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gias Fred | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tee Coquin | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ms Featuringfastjess | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Fdd Ever Be | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | El Bee Dee | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big City Visions | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shes One Fancy Pyc | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Futurity) – Old South Futurity
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Coronado Hussle | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fm Zatanas D Third | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Whatahistoric Moment | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hennessy Xo Tlc | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kk Blue Wagon | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Card One Starter | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Captain | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Mr Jj Pvc Eagle | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | When Eagles Fly | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jess a Candy Rogue | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Afourleafclover | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Captain Pyc | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jenns Dynasty | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Senator Saweet | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Eves Fast Rogue | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jls Mr Prospect | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Arzon | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Smarty Black | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Corona Blue Bye U | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | A Real Time to Shine | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Futurity) – Laddie Futurity S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sir Louisiana Dash | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | San Lorenzo | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ought to Go Tee | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | El Camino Cl | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lafitte | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Fm Famous Rock | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jess Cuervo Time | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Black Blood | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | He B Swift | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Apollitcal Bye | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.