July 4, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Couple of Nikkis | 1.20 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Wonder Blondy | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Herculina | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Zandrea’s | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ms. Outrajes | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lookn Fine as Wine | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Pasatime | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Emilia Strong | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dakota Beach | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Veer | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Game Day Drama | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Star Juancho | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | E J’s Revenge | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Swagger | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Town Policy | 2.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Charge Card | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jaiden’s Best | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 6 | Givemetwenty | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Justinthenickotime | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Captain D | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Uncork the Bottle | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Diamonds Enjoy | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dominate Themoment | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Montana Man | 15.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Plato | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | First Rate | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Flash Pass | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Bust Out Lady | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Crystalina | 1.20 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Let’s Go Luna | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Surprise Arrival | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Naturell (ECU) | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Amber Princess | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Signing Bonus | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Super Hero Wanda | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Malaga | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Biz Maker | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Personally | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Cactus Kitten | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Swanee Beach | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kreative Kisser | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | All American Jewel | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Marianna Queen | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Paddy Kaye’s Wild | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Reina Caribe | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Capeline | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lady Larko | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dynatown | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ghostly Beauty | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Amadora | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Yolanda’s Pride | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lookinlikeaqueen | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Extravagant Rosie | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Night Watch | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bahamian Girl | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Time to Two Step | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Plum Funny | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Elusive Edge | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Perlman | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Paynted | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sir Kahn | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Brewmeister | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fenestra | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mascabroni | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Picasso Moon | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | La Incondicional | 1.60 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dance Till Dawn | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Ledecky | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pocket of Candy | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dixie Princess | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Adamant | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Thump | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Mi Cuaima | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Kylla Instinct (GB) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Nothins Free | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Azalea S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Boerne | 1.20 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bankruptonthebeach | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Don’t Get Khozy | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Estilo Talentoso | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Compensate | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Addilyn | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Twenty Four Seven | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sir Seamus | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Roddick | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Hot and Heavy | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Farley | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Philo | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | American Ninja | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Boyd Crowder | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Street Code | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Mounted Cop | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | King Orb | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | War Giant | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Dexter Road | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Peppi the Hunter | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Honest to Goodness | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Pinocchio | 30.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Carry Back S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Double Crown | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | With Verve | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ournationonparade | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Cajun Brother | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Poe | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Prince James | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Curlingo | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dr. Samadi | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Chill Haze | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Light Fury | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Avant Garde | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Winter At Bastogne | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sultannes Crown | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pachanga Patrol | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ultraconfident | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.