July 5, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 3 | Guaco | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 1 | Skyray | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 2 | Global Vision | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 4 | Oxburger | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Borgobythesea | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Time for Trouble | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Le Coste | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Nassau Street | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Ratify | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mony | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sinister | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Just Like Mike | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Concorde’s Dream | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Discreet Tune | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Winter’s Wonder | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lucidus | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Paynter Fest | 1.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Miss Mariu | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Stormy Boss | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Darlindiva | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Kindhearted Kota | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tropicality | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Harbour Master (GB) | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Decision | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Thunder Ride | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Stirling Drive | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Frenchmen Street | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Shiny Copper Penny | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lahinch | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Glory Roll | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fiber Optic | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Suz | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Solarte | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sunset Empire | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Thump | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Speed Star | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Congrats This | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Love Nest | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Starship Aramis | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dexter Road | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Street Code | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Totono | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | War Giant | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Congrats That | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Young Raymond | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Where Ya Goin Owen | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Captain Duke | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | I’m More Ready | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Indirectly | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jupi’s Lightning | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Venerate | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Fast Loaded | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Deckology | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – In The Breeze S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Soiree | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Kelsey’s Cross | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Isla Road | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Belle Laura | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Crown and Sugar | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Picara | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Great Sister Diane | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Zarina | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bienville Street | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dangerous Curves | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rosa Star | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Crumb Bun | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Papetu | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Princess Secret | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Famous Gent | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Ice Beast | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Exchange Day | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Paladio | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Heavenly Blessing | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Bob Umphrey Turf Sprint S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 4 | Pay Any Price | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Frosted Grace | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Krsto Skye | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | Ambassador Luna | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 3 | Sovereign Warrior | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Running for Riz | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Cryogenic | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Another Miracle | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Lady’s Island | 0.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Faction Cat | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lady Boss | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tara | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Doll Collection | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Princess Coro | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Red Venus | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Scamper Along | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Puppet Master | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz Enough | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.