July 5, 2020 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | No Ring | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Magique | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tango Dancer | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dance the Sky Away | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Justcall Me Candy | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Typically | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I’m a Ginger | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Matilda | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Cat’s Whisper | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dynamic Force | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Our Zuma | 1.60 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | A Viking Morning | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Deputy of Egbert | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Just Run With It | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Radio Nowhere | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Victor’s Destiny | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Stopvictimizingme | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Silent Empire | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Malibu Mandate | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Galvaston | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | All Canadian | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Old Habits | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ima Silent Force | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Exceed | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lil Bit Gangsta | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Diamondback | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Music Tribute | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Silent Causeway | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Totally Perfect | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vespolina | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Under the Eye | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sayso | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Asha Ironborn | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Marwoods War | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Light It Up | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Muskoka Dancer | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Roche’s Point | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Moksgmol | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Vana Grand | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Secret Path | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Conquistador | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | In a Twist | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Suitedconnected | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Precious Badge | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | El Chairman | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Polydeuces | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Gottoknowrightnow | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bala Falls | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Kid Forester | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Unilateral | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | English Conqueror | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Celebratory | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Muskoka Giant | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bulletproof | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Unwavering | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Too Hot | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Strike the Top | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lion Kingdom | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Birchmount Rd | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Alkeline | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bear Paw | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Above All Names | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Auntie Katherine | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stop Who’s That | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Street Zapper | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Capoeira | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cool Shadows | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Nashville Knight | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sheer Flattery | 4.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Drink in My Hand | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Souper Fly Over | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Where’s the Widget | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Overbearing | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Night Watchman | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Seventyseven Stone | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rocket Plan | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gator Spy | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Two Timing | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Heydon’s Case | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Fury S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mizzen Beau | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Avie’s Samurai | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Curlin’s Voyage | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gun Society | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Infinite Patience | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Justleaveitalone | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | Shangassah | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Papa’s Place | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | He’s a Gizmo | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | American Driven | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Our Uncle Drew | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Valuable Pillow | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Frat Party | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Peace Out Man | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Nu Baby Daddy | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz Tap Tango | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Kyslios’s Justice | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Denmark | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Thor’s Thunder | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Mayito | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Raven’s Song | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Freedom Machine | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Afleet Katherine | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Empire Angel | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jumping Jill Flash | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Motara | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Yours Truly | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 15 | 14 | Classy Gizmo | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 14 | 13 | Saratoga Vision | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Jackie Milton | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pretty and Fast | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Hasn’t Hit Me Yet | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shes the North | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Magic Flute | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bearakontie | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.