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Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, July 10, 2020

July 10, 2020 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 King of Miami 1.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Pitaman 2.50 2.7 5-1
5 4 Blame the Booze 5.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Centavo 15.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Takecareyallchickn 15.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Scarlett Sky 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Bitumen 5.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Field of Courage 4.50 4.6 9-1
2 2 Fox Red 8.00 4.9 9-1
6 5 Business Cycle 8.00 5.9 11-1
12 8 Vicar’s Legend 12.00 6.4 12-1
5 4 Thousand Percent 15.00 7.5 14-1
7 6 Outrageous Bet 20.00 8.7 16-1
11 7 Direct Order 12.00 8.7 16-1
4 4 Banana Thief 3.00 SCRATCH
8 8 War Stroll 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Duncastle 3.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Dirty 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 Fulfill 6.00 2.6 5-1
4 2 Buona Fina 8.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Heirloom Kitten 6.00 3.7 7-1
8 6 Road Home 2.00 3.9 7-1
10 7 Little Mazzy 12.00 4 8-1
5 3 Tipazo 30.00 6.7 13-1
6 4 Seediskid 30.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 The Primitive Man 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 John Want Revenge 50.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Striking Speed 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Malarkey 6.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Malibu Mischief 4.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Miss Jak 2.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Cold Hearted Pearl 4.50 2.5 5-1
10 10 Cotton Candy Cutie 8.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Camorra 6.00 4 8-1
3A 3 Zecha 12.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 My Last Million 15.00 5 9-1
9A 9 First Forever 12.00 5 9-1
2 2 Starlite Mission 30.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 6 Bossy Bride 1.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Sterling Beauty 5.00 3 6-1
7 4 Overheated 6.00 3.9 7-1
5 3 First Dawn 8.00 4 8-1
2 2 Wild North 15.00 4.8 9-1
8 5 Happycrest 30.00 7.8 15-1
3 3 Leeway 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Strike Magic 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Kitten by the Sea 1.20 SCRATCH
9 9 Princess Fawzia 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Voice of Spring 2.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 Robin Sparkles 8.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Bonus Baby 8.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Vivazano 4.00 2.9 6-1
10 10 Jewel of Arabia 2.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Love That Face 12.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Blitchton Lady 15.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Masterof the Tunes 20.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Bella Domenica 30.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Steal My Heart 50.00 8.2 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Gracetown 2.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Gentle Annie 8.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Brass Ring 6.00 4 8-1
11 7 Spring Drama 8.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Makin’ Out 12.00 5 9-1
5 4 Ok Honey 15.00 5.3 10-1
8 6 Tiz a Kitten 15.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Real Doozie 5.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Sister Emily 50.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Merlins Muse 3.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Noble Jewel 2.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Roman City 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 7 Our Last Buck 3.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Not That Brady 5.00 3.9 7-1
8 5 Doups Point 6.00 4.1 8-1
5 4 Blugrascat’s Smile 8.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Winston’s Chance 10.00 5.6 11-1
9 6 Big Mountain 15.00 6.1 12-1
3A 3 Twisted Tom 3.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Foolish Ghost 8.00 SCRATCH
6A 6 I Love Jaxson 3.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Durkin’s Call 10.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Pipes 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Gold Fever S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Long Weekend 0.50 1.5 3-1
5 4 Wondrwherecraigis 5.00 2.8 5-1
2 1 Newstome 6.00 3.6 7-1
4 3 Listentoyourheart 10.00 4.9 9-1
3 2 Hopeful Treasure 15.00 5.4 10-1
7 6 Liam’s Pride 15.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Premier Star 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Tiny Magoo 5.00 4.1 8-1
11 6 She So Naughty 8.00 4.5 9-1
13 8 Fusi 8.00 4.8 9-1
12 7 Big Red Girl 10.00 5.5 10-1
10 5 Adorable Maya 8.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Wall Eye 15.00 5.8 11-1
5 3 Vinda Machine 20.00 7 13-1
7 4 Mind of Gold 30.00 9.8 18-1
2 2 Idaka 50.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Nikki’s Dream 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Running On Entry 3.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Little Red Button 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Silent Empress 4.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Frenchie Frou Frou 4.50 SCRATCH
15 15 Magical Romance 8.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Painite 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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