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Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, July 18, 2020

July 18, 2020 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Mo Mischief 1.80 1.6 3-1
6 6 Repo Rocks 2.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Holland 4.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Bajan Rum 6.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Berhanu 6.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Momos 8.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Winning Factor 3.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Mr. Kringle 0.80 3.4 6-1
4 4 Battalion 8.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Catch That Party 10.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Zipalong 10.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Kilronan 8.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Quid 20.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Polar Bear Pete 20.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – National Museum Of Racing Hall Of Fame S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 Decorated Invader 1.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Domestic Spending (GB) 3.50 3.9 7-1
2 2 Moon Over Miami 8.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Get Smokin 10.00 5.4 10-1
6 4 Ever Dangerous 15.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Money Moves 0.80 SCRATCH
5 5 Gufo 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Baby Boss 1.20 2.1 4-1
7 7 Letmetakethiscall 4.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 No Deal 6.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Lady by Choice 5.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Archumybaby 8.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Queen Kahen 8.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Jump for Joy 10.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 6 The Angry Man 2.00 2 4-1
4 2 Conglomerate 3.50 2.6 5-1
6 4 Oak Hill 3.00 2.6 5-1
10 7 Red Flag Alert 5.00 3.5 7-1
5 3 Matty’s Marauder 8.00 5.4 10-1
3 1 Summer Tune 6.00 5.5 10-1
7 5 Patriot Game 15.00 8.4 16-1
1 1 Vicarage 3.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Futuro 3.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Joycee Haz Pizzaz 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Obsessed 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 The Right Stuff (GB) 4.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Nautilus 3.50 2 4-1
1 1 Rip It 6.00 2.6 5-1
10 10 Pivotal Mission 8.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Catman 8.00 2.9 6-1
6 6 Zippy Baby 5.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Breakthrough 6.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 Girl Dad 12.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Rock Sugar 12.00 4 8-1
7 7 Ocala Dream 30.00 7.7 14-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Yaupon 2.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Binkster 2.50 2.9 6-1
3 3 Blindwillie McTell 2.50 3.4 6-1
5 5 Cucina 6.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Kosciuszko 8.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 The Sicarii 12.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Peruvian Boy 20.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Singapore Trader 8.00 2.7 5-1
9 8 Hammerin Aamer 2.50 2.9 6-1
2 2 Kumar 6.00 3.5 7-1
6 5 Musical Heart 4.50 3.7 7-1
7 6 Shalako 10.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Hoffenheim 8.00 4.7 9-1
8 7 Flowers for Lisa 12.00 5.3 10-1
5 4 Holiday Bonus 30.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Creative Style 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 4 Set Piece (GB) 1.60 1.4 3-1
7 5 Digital Age (IRE) 2.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Ramsey Solution 4.00 4.8 9-1
9 7 Monarchs Glen (GB) 8.00 5.3 10-1
8 6 Midnight Tea Time 8.00 6 11-1
1 1 Red Right Hand 12.00 7.8 15-1
4 3 Noble Indy 15.00 8 15-1
3 3 Its All Relevant 1.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Expert 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Coaching Club American Oaks

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Tonalist’s Shape 1.80 2.6 5-1
6 5 Paris Lights 2.00 2.8 5-1
5 4 Crystal Ball 4.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Antoinette 6.00 4 8-1
4 3 Velvet Crush 12.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Altaf 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Papa Luke 4.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 American Piper 4.50 1.6 3-1
11 8 Top of the Mint 5.00 2.2 4-1
10 7 Farragut 6.00 2.4 5-1
3 2 Midnight Whiskey 3.50 2.6 5-1
4 3 Make Motime 15.00 4.7 9-1
5 4 Me ‘n Sap 20.00 6.4 12-1
8 6 Perfect Banker 30.00 8.3 16-1
2 2 Quick Return 8.00 SCRATCH
7A 7 Royal Kaz 8.00 SCRATCH
9A 9 Kaz’s Beach 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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