July 23, 2020 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Elizabeth T | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Uncommon Factor | 12.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Raging Blaze | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mary’s Jewel | 1.60 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sacred Lady | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Landing Zone | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mixways | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Amphitrite | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ortinola | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Calypso Ghost | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mae Sai Princess | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Twirling Liz | 1.80 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Magical Luna | 3.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Amen Corner | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tom Hagen | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hayne’s Fever | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Epitomize | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ten Eyck | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nick Papagiorgio | 2.50 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bee Catcher | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | J Beresford Tipton | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Speed Game | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Valued Notion | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hushed Hijinks | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hinting | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miracle Bobbie | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Karan’s Notion | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mosby’s Ranger | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Dreaming of Carats | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Deshackled | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Repeated Promise | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | McLean House | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pep Talking | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stolen Love | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Belfour | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Greek God | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Campari | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dedicated | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Nextstop Pokipc | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Kukulkan | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hostile Witness | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Confectioner | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Robber Bob | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | City Badger | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Fried Plantaine | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hair of the Dog | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | English Tavern | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Second Encore | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | H R H Jellybean | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Zip Line to Heaven | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Toughest ‘Ombre | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Late Breaking News | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Uno Emayo | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Ramsey | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | So Innocent | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Epic (ARG) | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Hill Shadow | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Across the Aisle | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Walk Away Joe | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Seven On the Rocks | 15.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Air On Fire | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Popizar | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bull Shark | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Passion Play | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Day the Music Died | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Correjon | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Fort Fortitude | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Nova Boy | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Eastern Bay | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Jaguar Poz | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Starry Messenger | 30.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Clever Triad | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Bychance | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Goldenlineof | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Tempt Me Twice | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Skole | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.