July 26, 2020 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Four Aces High | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Captain Handsome | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Souper Hot | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rockcrest | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alicia’s Kid | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gasconade | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Nashville Knight | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ben Lomond | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Colton’s Corner | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Slip Kid | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Bay of Rum | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | R U Watchingbud | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Distinct Passion | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Steady Earner | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Captain Sidney | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Now We Are Nine | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Cool Society | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Go Gigi Go Gigi Go | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wake Up Maggie | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Silent Causeway | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | She’s a True Fox | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sterling Speed | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Touch of Rouge | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Phantom Dance | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | English Conqueror | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Irving | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Opus North | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Muskoka Storm | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Just Like Larry | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Too Hot | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Waltzing Champ | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Viature | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Enchant Me | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wings of Victory | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Red Mercury | 30.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Thy Kingdom | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Battle of Yorktown | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Galvaston | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Pink Gelato | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Exceed | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Souper Size It | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tourist Attraction | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | I’m the Sheriff | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Royal Bourbon | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Malibu Mandate | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lady Kratos | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Let’s Go Now | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Elke Do Jaguarete (BRZ) | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Sweet Uproar | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Shes the North | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cat Rags | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Just Playing | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shedat | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Joy’s Solution | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Freedom Machine | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sky Dragon | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Seagram Cup S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Skywire | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Avie’s Flatter | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mr Ritz (GB) | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tiz a Slam | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Perfect Tapatino (FR) | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jungle Fighter | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Explode | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cooler Mike | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Denmark | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Data Boy | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | New Deal | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sundance Hit | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Judicator | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cash Advance | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Komunist | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Seifert | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Skipys Legacy | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | I Have Hope | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Conquer the Breeze | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Matteo | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Maritime Magic | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Valuable Pillow | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Kyslios’s Justice | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | O’Keeffe | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Avie’s Samurai | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sav | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Western Curl | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Boogie With Me | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Nice Brown Girl | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pearl Heist | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Winandyourin Gin | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Magic Spell | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bear Paw | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Silent Respect | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Killag Katie | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Nashtrick | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Souper Scat Daddy | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Muchokova | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Duke of Carthania | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Diffley | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Viewfinder | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miracle Silver | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Tomcat Black | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Epilogue | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Detroit Steel (IRE) | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cleanup Time | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Elektronic | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.