July 28, 2020 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Agave Queen | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bella G | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Positive Force | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Allegretto | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Will Take Over | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Better Begin | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | It’s So Easy | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Two Graces | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Kion | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Grand Oasis | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dubrovsky | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Curlin’s Knight | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Hail to the King | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Donnie Brasco | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Imperial Brew | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Allium | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 8 | Boss of Bourbon St | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Irish Riviera | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Federale | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Twixy Cat | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Tally Mo | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Aced | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Start Meee | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Extra Medium | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Arrecife | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Town Jak | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Raggy Rocks | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Alfatei | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tomasco | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Frost’s Song | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Burn and Turn | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Rickie’s Melody | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | J Wass | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Ron Don Scorese | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Railroad Bill | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Harrie Hippie | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pat’s Gronk | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Terpeye | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dance and Dance | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Take Charge Tina | 1.80 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sugar Streak | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ma de Taw | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wings of Fury | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Whitney Cove | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Steady Love | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ez On the Eyes | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Strega Nonna | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Odd Gal | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Dreams Untold | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fortheluvofbourbon | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sense of Justice | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Septimius Severus | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gravel Road | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Talented Son | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Get Set | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Aspen Xtreme | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Dee Jay | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Baby Bull | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Prized Merry | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Buy Land and See | 1.60 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | King’s Gold | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jw’s Third Mischie | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Smart and Tough | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | The Want of a Nail | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 8 | Occhi d’Oro | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Girardi | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dreamer’s Moon | 1.60 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Isabella Smile | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lorden’s Love | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bucks Some | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gator Girl | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Arima | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Mucha Mezquina | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Fed Up Fired Up | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Wood Bee | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | B B’s Busted | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Carmeltini | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Kitten’s Finest | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Like a Pro | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pebble Road | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Madam Meena | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Philadelphia Belle | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pink Caddy | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Akna | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Charly’s Charm | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Capital Q | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Key Light | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ice Cream Party | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Regal Retort | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Its a Journey | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mill and Gloria | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Ankle Monitor | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Afleet Destiny | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sweet Maggie Mae | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | I’m Not Joking | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Monaco Princess | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flashndynamite | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Trace of Grace | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Moza | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Gold Rush Kizzie | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rosie Summer | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ragazza Carina | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Filly From Philly | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Graceful Monarch | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Storm Babe | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Sunshine Sky | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cinnamon Latte | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Catalina R | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fly Time | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Light of Hope | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Wrote to a Diva | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Yourindenial | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.