July 29, 2020 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Florencia | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Madelyn’s Dancer | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Our Claire Bear | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | With Me Without Me | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Don’ttouchmystuff | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Taylor’s Belle | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tiz a Tribute | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | La Venezolana (VEN) | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Our Flirtation | 1.20 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Neon City | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Patty’s Temple | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wonder Charm | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Yourindenial | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sophia Kate | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wrote to a Diva | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | African Song | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Midnight Bounty | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | What About Tonight | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Creative Princess | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Jumpin Jett | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Special Risk | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hola Princess | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Livin a Dream | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Penance | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Traffic Trouble | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | City Guy | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Silverzar | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | The Fairlee Boys | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Dramatized | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Good Solution | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tri Try Colors | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Haz a Notion | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Devilry | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Proudmiamicitizen | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Acere | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Brave Deacon | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gallinipper | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Warrant Officer | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Eastport | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Partner’s Power | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mountain Tree | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Roan Mountain | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vero Sun | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cape May Style | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7A | 7 | Silver Dagger | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Quality Choice | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Trilogy | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Immunity | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | County Corrections | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tu Exageres | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stormy Justin | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kid Mac Cool | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | American Cougar | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Staynsidethecircle | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Senor Louie | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Threeohtwocassie | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Cloontia | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14A | 14 | The Great Samurai | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 1 | Niente | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Beautiful Grace | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Progurt | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vequist | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Aegean Sea | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Magical Mesa | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Aurnia | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Catti La Belle | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sprite’s Lady | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tic Tic Tic Boom | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Justice Was Served | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Game On Girl | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13A | 13 | Stoneharbor Blonde | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Galerio | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | True Blue | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Dance for Oro | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flat Out Flashy | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Threatlovesmidnite | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | High Flying Guy | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Celtic Treasure | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7A | 7 | Buddy’s Run | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1A | 1 | Pitching Ari | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | D T Goodie | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cozy Lover | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Splicethemainbrace | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Irish Colonel | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grasshoppin | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Get the W | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Dancin Debbie | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bon Heir | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Verrazano Vittoria | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Misses Knight | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | To the Flag | 4.50 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Royalty for Life | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Congressionalstorm | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bad Nana | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Midnight Sky | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | La Candelita | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mrs. Crews | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Imperial Lady | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.