Site icon Sports from the Basement

Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, August 5, 2020

August 5, 2020 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.


Try SFTB Plus for Free

$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.

Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!

Learn More

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Handicap)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6A 6 Elucidation (IRE) 1.80 1.3 2-1
2 2 New Member (IRE) 2.50 2.3 4-1
1A 1 Must See The Doc (GB) 1.80 2.4 5-1
3 3 Iranistan 3.50 3 6-1
4 4 Cracker Factory (GB) 10.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Show Court (IRE) 8.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Maccabee 15.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 No Wunder (GB) 12.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 Mutasaawy 15.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Naughty Prince 1.80 1.3 2-1
5 5 The Joke’s On You 3.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Icy Dude 6.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Mine the Coin 4.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Sneads 6.00 4 8-1
3 3 Soul Fight 12.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Macho Boy 15.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 King of American 20.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Three Jokers 1.40 1.7 3-1
6 5 Three Outlaws 4.00 2.4 5-1
4 3 Luna’s in Charge 5.00 2.5 5-1
5 4 More Graytful 6.00 3.6 7-1
3 2 Inside Info 15.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Veterans Beach 3.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Freewheeler 1.20 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Summer Colony S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Nonna Madeline 2.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Golden Award 1.20 2 4-1
3 3 Always Shopping 8.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Bellera 1.80 2.2 4-1
5 5 Bossy Bride 30.00 3.9 7-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 No Mo’ Spending 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Big Time Lady 3.50 1.8 3-1
5 5 Summer Brew 4.00 2.1 4-1
9 9 Rossa Veloce 6.00 3 6-1
4 4 Mashnee Girl 8.00 4 8-1
3 3 Rosey’s Peach 10.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Minerva Doubleplay 12.00 6.1 11-1
2 2 Fastelle 12.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Lil Thirsty 15.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 1 Twisted Tom 1.60 1.7 3-1
6 5 Control Group 2.50 1.9 4-1
5 4 Doups Point 3.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Playwright 4.50 2.9 5-1
7 6 Durkin’s Call 8.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Hit It Once More 15.00 5.2 10-1
4A 4 I Love Jaxson 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Black Magic Woman 1.20 1.1 2-1
3 3 Love On the Run 6.00 2 4-1
5 5 Harlem Heights 2.00 2 4-1
4 4 Apurate 8.00 3 6-1
2 2 Soft N Lovely 12.00 3 6-1
7 7 Heavenly Sis 6.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Superbloodwolfmoon 30.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Intrepid Heart 3.00 1.8 3-1
4 3 Dunph 5.00 2.4 4-1
6 5 Super Dude 3.50 2.4 5-1
8 7 Han Sense 4.50 2.6 5-1
5 4 Grumps Little Tots 4.50 3.7 7-1
1 1 Winston’s Chance 8.00 5.7 11-1
7 6 Prompt 10.00 6.1 11-1
3 3 Zoomer 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Traipsing 3.00 2.7 5-1
5 3 Kreesie 6.00 3.5 7-1
3 2 Espresso Shot 12.00 4.9 9-1
6 4 Foxtail 15.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Miss Teheran (IRE) 2.50 SCRATCH
4 4 She’s Got You (GB) 1.20 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 2 Herwaze 5.00 1.7 3-1
6 3 Adorable Maya 8.00 2.2 4-1
9 4 Beyond Brown 3.00 2.5 5-1
4 1 Sophie Fatale 50.00 7 13-1
1 1 Cainudothetwist 2.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Women Not Easy 4.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Gen Z 30.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Gotta B Bold 30.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Plink Freud 4.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Exit mobile version